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ATP WTA Grand Slam Roland Garros 5/26 - 6/9 2024

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ATP WTA Grand Slam Roland Garros 5/26 - 6/9 2024

#1

Post by ti-amie »

Tournament: Roland Garros
Location: Paris, France
Dates: 26 May - 9 June, 2024
Tier: Grand Slam
Surface: Clay
Prize: €0


Entries
Seed* Name Current Ranking Entry Ranking

1 Novak Djokovic 1 1
2 Jannik Sinner 2 2
3 Carlos Alcaraz 3 3
4 Daniil Medvedev 4 4
5 Alexander Zverev 5 5
6 Casper Ruud 6 6
7 Stefanos Tsitsipas 7 7
8 Andrey Rublev 8 8
9 Hubert Hurkacz 9 9
10 Grigor Dimitrov 10 10
11 Alex de Minaur 11 11
12 Holger Rune 12 12
13 Ugo Humbert 13 13
14 Ben Shelton 14 14
15 Taylor Fritz 15 15
16 Tommy Paul 16 16
17 Karen Khachanov 17 17
18 Alexander Bublik 18 18
19 Sebastian Baez 19 19
20 Adrian Mannarino 20 20
21 Francisco Cerundolo 21 21
22 Nicolas Jarry 22 22
23 Frances Tiafoe 23 23
24 Lorenzo Musetti 24 24
25 Tallon Griekspoor 25 25
26 Sebastian Korda 26 26
27 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 27 27
28 Jan-Lennard Struff 28 28
29 Jiri Lehecka 29 29
30 Tomas Martin Etcheverry 30 30
31 Cameron Norrie 31 31
32 Borna Coric 32 32
Jordan Thompson 33 33
Felix Auger-Aliassime 34 34
Laslo Djere 35 35
Arthur Fils 36 36
Gael Monfils 37 37
Roman Safiullin 38 38
Fabian Marozsan 39 39
Matteo Arnaldi 40 40
Alejandro Tabilo 41 41
Christopher Eubanks 42 42
Sebastian Ofner 43 43
Alexei Popyrin 44 44
Aslan Karatsev 45 45
Jack Draper 46 46
Zhizhen Zhang 47 47
Marcos Giron 48 48
Daniel Evans 49 49
Tomas Machac 50 50
Lorenzo Sonego 51 51
Mariano Navone 52 52
Facundo Diaz Acosta 53 53
Dominik Koepfer 54 54
Nuno Borges 55 55
Andy Murray 56 56
Pedro Martinez 57 57
Christopher O'Connell 58 58
Dusan Lajovic 59 59
Miomir Kecmanovic 60 60
Yannick Hanfmann 61 61
Flavio Cobolli 62 62
Alexander Shevchenko 63 63
Luciano Darderi 64 64
Aleksandar Vukic 65 65
Daniel Altmaier 66 66
Thiago Seyboth Wild 67 67
Emil Ruusuvuori 68 68
Pavel Kotov 69 69
Alex Michelsen 70 70
Yoshihito Nishioka 71 71
Roberto Carballes Baena 72 72
Jaume Munar 73 73
Jakub Mensik 74 74
Arthur Cazaux 75 75
Mackenzie McDonald 76 76
Rinky Hijikata 77 77
Max Purcell 78 78
Arthur Rinderknech 79 79
Sumit Nagal 80 80
Luca Nardi 81 81
Marton Fucsovics 82 82
Federico Coria 83 83
Roberto Bautista Agut 84 84
Taro Daniel 85 85
Stan Wawrinka 86 86
Brandon Nakashima 87 87
Pedro Cachin 88 88
Botic van de Zandschulp 89 89
Thiago Agustin Tirante 90 90
Constant Lestienne 91 91
Corentin Moutet 92 92
Daniel Elahi Galan 93 93
Thanasi Kokkinakis 94 94
Fabio Fognini 95 95
Hugo Gaston 96 96
Aleksandar Kovacevic 97 97
Matteo Berrettini 98 98
Luca Van Assche 99 99
Denis Shapovalov 121 27 (PR)
Kei Nishikori 353 48 (PR)
Soonwoo Kwon 480 80 (PR)
Rafael Nadal 644 9 (PR)
Marin Cilic 1064 21 (PR)
(WC)
(WC)
(WC)
(WC)
(WC)
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(WC)
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Alternates
Name Current Ranking Entry Ranking

1 David Goffin 100 100
2 Maximilian Marterer 101 101
3 J.J. Wolf 102 102
4 Juan Pablo Varillas 103 103
5 James Duckworth 104 104
6 Dominic Thiem 105 105
7 Cristian Garin 106 106
8 Zizou Bergs 107 107
9 Albert Ramos-Vinolas 108 108
10 Yibing Wu 285 108 (PR)
11 Camilo Ugo Carabelli 109 109
12 Alexandre Muller 110 110
13 Michael Mmoh 111 111
14 Richard Gasquet 112 112
15 Thiago Monteiro 113 113
16 Juncheng Shang 114 114
17 Francisco Comesana 115 115
18 Harold Mayot 116 116
19 Lukas Klein 117 117
20 Jurij Rodionov 118 118
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Re: ATP WTA Grand Slam Roland Garros 5/26 - 6/9 2024

#2

Post by ti-amie »

Tournament: Roland Garros
Location: Paris, France
Dates: May 26 - Jun 9, 2024
Level: Grand Slam
Surface: Clay

Seed Player Entry Ranking

1 Iga Swiatek 1
2 Aryna Sabalenka 2
3 Coco Gauff 3
4 Elena Rybakina 4
5 Jessica Pegula 5
6 Maria Sakkari 6
7 Qinwen Zheng 7
8 Marketa Vondrousova 8
9 Ons Jabeur 9
10 Jelena Ostapenko 10
11 Daria Kasatkina 11
12 Beatriz Haddad Maia 13
13 Jasmine Paolini 14
14 Danielle Collins 15
15 Ekaterina Alexandrova 16
16 Liudmila Samsonova 17
17 Elina Svitolina 18
18 Veronika Kudermetova 19
19 Madison Keys 20
20 Emma Navarro 21
21 Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 22
22 Caroline Garcia 23
23 Barbora Krejcikova 24
24 Victoria Azarenka 25
25 Anna Kalinskaya 26
26 Marta Kostyuk 27
27 Katie Boulter 28
28 Sorana Cirstea 29
29 Elise Mertens 30
30 Linda Noskova 31
31 Anhelina Kalinina 32
32 Dayana Yastremska 33
Leylah Fernandez 34
Marie Bouzkova 35
Anastasia Potapova 36
Donna Vekic 37
Yue Yuan 38
Sloane Stephens 39
Katerina Siniakova 40
Lesia Tsurenko 41
Xinyu Wang 42
Mirra Andreeva 43
Clara Burel 44
Anna Blinkova 45
Lucia Bronzetti 46
Karolina Pliskova 47
Caroline Dolehide 48
Diane Parry 49
Yulia Putintseva 50
Sara Sorribes Tormo 51
Magdalena Frech 52
Arantxa Rus 53
Xiyu Wang 54
Elisabetta Cocciaretto 55
Lin Zhu 56
Taylor Townsend 57
Petra Martic 59
Magda Linette 60
Sofia Kenin 61
Diana Shnaider 62
Camila Osorio 63
Ana Bogdan 64
Nadia Podoroska 65
Tatjana Maria 66
Elina Avanesyan 67
Anna Karolina Schmiedlova 68
Ashlyn Krueger 69
Greet Minnen 70
Yafan Wang 71
Mayar Sherif 72
Cristina Bucsa 73
Jaqueline Cristian 74
Tamara Korpatsch 75
Oceane Dodin 76
Viktorija Golubic 77
Martina Trevisan 78
Peyton Stearns 79
Rebeka Masarova 80
Viktoriya Tomova 81
Bernarda Pera 82
Maria Lourdes Carle 83
Laura Siegemund 84
Nao Hibino 85
Kayla Day 86
Clara Tauson 87
Harriet Dart 88
Yanina Wickmayer 89
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 90
Zhuoxuan Bai 92
Paula Badosa 93
Varvara Gracheva 94
Daria Saville 95
Maria Timofeeva 96
Kamilla Rakhimova 97
Jodie Burrage 98
Emina Bektas 99
Angelique Kerber 31 (SR)
Naomi Osaka 46 (SR)
Irina-Camelia Begu 49 (SR)
Amanda Anisimova 61 (SR)
Bianca Andreescu 64 (SR)
Julia Grabher 73 (SR)
Alison Van Uytvanck 97 (SR)
Aleksandra Krunic 99 (SR)
Wild Card
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“Do not grow old, no matter how long you live. Never cease to stand like curious children before the Great Mystery into which we were born.” Albert Einstein
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Re: ATP WTA Grand Slam Roland Garros 5/26 - 6/9 2024

#3

Post by ashkor87 »

It is the Men who are a puzzle this time ..is anyone fit enough, who is good enough, to win this?
The women's side is fairly clear...nobody will beat Swiatek...if anyone else has a chance, it is the other members of the big 3..the only real surprise could be someone like BHM...she is due to win something big, I feel
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Re: ATP WTA Grand Slam Roland Garros 5/26 - 6/9 2024

#4

Post by ponchi101 »

Agree that the men, this year, is wide open.
The women's: if Iga wins Rome, the sole thing against her would be that statistically it is very difficult to win three slams in a row, and she will be carrying a streak. But she will be a heavy favorite.
For the rest of the field, my favorite player: Ms Other.
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Re: ATP WTA Grand Slam Roland Garros 5/26 - 6/9 2024

#5

Post by ti-amie »

“Do not grow old, no matter how long you live. Never cease to stand like curious children before the Great Mystery into which we were born.” Albert Einstein
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Re: ATP WTA Grand Slam Roland Garros 5/26 - 6/9 2024

#6

Post by ashkor87 »

ponchi101 wrote: Sat May 11, 2024 7:14 pm Agree that the men, this year, is wide open.
The women's: if Iga wins Rome, the sole thing against her would be that statistically it is very difficult to win three slams in a row, and she will be carrying a streak. But she will be a heavy favorite.
For the rest of the field, my favorite player: Ms Other.
Probabilities are defined by the priors...if Swiatek has won the French 3 times, and that is the prior, the probability of winning is now greater, not less. The '3 times in a row' scenario leaves out the prior.
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Re: ATP WTA Grand Slam Roland Garros 5/26 - 6/9 2024

#7

Post by ashkor87 »

Just for completeness
Swiatek 60%
Rybakina 20%
Sabalenka 15%
Field 5%

The men
Tstsipas 20
Zverev 15
Sinner, Alcaraz, Djokovic 50%
The field 15%
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Re: ATP WTA Grand Slam Roland Garros 5/26 - 6/9 2024

#8

Post by ponchi101 »

Swiatek 60%
Rybakina 10%
Sabalenka 5%
Ms Other 25%

The men I don't even dare to put percentages. It is that even (unless Novak wins Rome, and then he moves ahead of everybody).
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Re: ATP WTA Grand Slam Roland Garros 5/26 - 6/9 2024

#9

Post by ashkor87 »

ponchi101 wrote: Sun May 12, 2024 11:59 am Swiatek 60%
Rybakina 10%
Sabalenka 5%
Ms Other 25%

The men I don't even dare to put percentages. It is that even (unless Novak wins Rome, and then he moves ahead of everybody).
So only difference is the field...
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Re: ATP WTA Grand Slam Roland Garros 5/26 - 6/9 2024

#10

Post by ponchi101 »

Roughly yes. You know that I believe that the WTA is very even. On clay, Iga is truly the outstanding player at the moment and, come Wimbledon, I will not give her anything near 40%. And at RG, there has not been a repeat losing finalists since 2015 (Halep).
So, on the #2 seed side, I say it will be truly wide open. On Iga's side she will get 6 good warm up matches until the final, and there she will prevail.
And with Novak losing today to Tabilo (a fine clay courter, btw), I say that the list will be:
Novak, Jannik, Carlitos, Daniil, Andrei, Stefanos, Zverev and Ruud: 10% each
The field 17%
Rafa: 3%

Or something like that.
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Re: ATP WTA Grand Slam Roland Garros 5/26 - 6/9 2024

#11

Post by skatingfan »

I think you're overestimating Rafa's chance of winning - he lost in Rome in straight sets to Hurkacz - that doesn't bode well for his chances to have any impact on the event aside from a very fond farewell.
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Re: ATP WTA Grand Slam Roland Garros 5/26 - 6/9 2024

#12

Post by ponchi101 »

3% because I will still give him better odds than anybody ranked below 50.
I expect him to go out before 3R. Actually, I wish he would not play. But it is Rafa at RG, so he has to be considered.
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Re: ATP WTA Grand Slam Roland Garros 5/26 - 6/9 2024

#13

Post by skatingfan »

ponchi101 wrote: Sun May 12, 2024 11:15 pm 3% because I will still give him better odds than anybody ranked below 50.
I expect him to go out before 3R. Actually, I wish he would not play. But it is Rafa at RG, so he has to be considered.
One last time at this event is probably not going to kill him - the damage to his body is done now - hopefully we see scenes similar to Serena's last Open.
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Re: ATP WTA Grand Slam Roland Garros 5/26 - 6/9 2024

#14

Post by ashkor87 »

ponchi101 wrote: Sun May 12, 2024 5:31 pm Roughly yes. You know that I believe that the WTA is very even. On clay, Iga is truly the outstanding player at the moment and, come Wimbledon, I will not give her anything near 40%. And at RG, there has not been a repeat losing finalists since 2015 (Halep).
So, on the #2 seed side, I say it will be truly wide open. On Iga's side she will get 6 good warm up matches until the final, and there she will prevail.
And with Novak losing today to Tabilo (a fine clay courter, btw), I say that the list will be:
Novak, Jannik, Carlitos, Daniil, Andrei, Stefanos, Zverev and Ruud: 10% each
The field 17%
Rafa: 3%



Or something like that.
Just to be nitpicky..I think you are overestimating Ruud, Medvedev and Rublev...they have no more than a total probability of 5%..
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Re: ATP WTA Grand Slam Roland Garros 5/26 - 6/9 2024

#15

Post by ponchi101 »

Oh, sure. I feel that this year we may have a surprise winner.
Remember those years of Albert Costa, or Andres Gomez, or Gaston Gaudio. It is just that we have gotten used to the dominance of Nadal and Novak, but the French was the one slam where surprise winners came to fruition.
5% for Rublev? Sure. He just won Madrid, a great predictor of who will NOT win RG.
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