'25 Aus Open ATP Lists, Draws and Discussion

[ti-amie]

MD Singles Entry Lists

Seed* Name Current Ranking Entry Ranking

1 Jannik Sinner 1 1
2 Alexander Zverev 2 2
3 Carlos Alcaraz 3 3
4 Taylor Fritz 4 4
5 Daniil Medvedev 5 5
6 Casper Ruud 6 6
7 Novak Djokovic 7 7
8 Andrey Rublev 8 8
9 Alex de Minaur 9 9
10 Grigor Dimitrov 10 10
11 Stefanos Tsitsipas 11 11
12 Tommy Paul 12 12
13 Holger Rune 13 13
14 Ugo Humbert 14 14
15 Jack Draper 15 15
16 Hubert Hurkacz 16 16
17 Lorenzo Musetti 17 17
18 Frances Tiafoe 18 18
19 Karen Khachanov 19 19
20 Arthur Fils 20 20
21 Ben Shelton 21 21
22 Sebastian Korda 22 22
23 Alejandro Tabilo 23 23
24 Alexei Popyrin 24 24
25 Tomas Machac 25 25
26 Jordan Thompson 26 26
27 Sebastian Baez 27 27
28 Jiri Lehecka 28 28
29 Felix Auger-Aliassime 29 29
30 Francisco Cerundolo 30 30
31 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 31 31
32 Flavio Cobolli 32 32
Alexander Bublik 33 33
Matteo Berrettini 34 34
Nicolas Jarry 35 35
Nuno Borges 36 36
Matteo Arnaldi 37 37
Brandon Nakashima 38 38
Tomas Martin Etcheverry 39 39
Tallon Griekspoor 40 40
Alex Michelsen 41 41
Jan-Lennard Struff 42 42
Pedro Martinez 43 43
Luciano Darderi 44 44
Zhizhen Zhang 45 45
Marcos Giron 46 46
Mariano Navone 47 47
Jakub Mensik 48 48
Cameron Norrie 49 49
Juncheng Shang 50 50
Roberto Bautista Agut 51 51
David Goffin 52 52
Lorenzo Sonego 53 53
Miomir Kecmanovic 54 54
Gael Monfils 55 55
Denis Shapovalov 56 56
Roberto Carballes Baena 57 57
Fabian Marozsan 58 58
Arthur Rinderknech 59 59
Roman Safiullin 60 60
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 61 61
Jaume Munar 62 62
Arthur Cazaux 63 63
Christopher O'Connell 64 64
Yunchaokete Bu 65 65
Adrian Mannarino 66 66
Alexandre Muller 67 67
Aleksandar Vukic 68 68
Yoshihito Nishioka 69 69
Corentin Moutet 70 70
Zizou Bergs 71 71
Quentin Halys 72 72
Rinky Hijikata 73 73
Thiago Seyboth Wild 74 74
Benjamin Bonzi 75 75
Hugo Gaston 76 76
Thanasi Kokkinakis 77 77
Alexander Shevchenko 78 78
Facundo Diaz Acosta 79 79
Botic van de Zandschulp 80 80
Dusan Lajovic 81 81
James Duckworth 82 82
Damir Dzumhur 83 83
Taro Daniel 84 84
Francisco Comesana 85 85
Pavel Kotov 86 86
Gabriel Diallo 87 87
Sebastian Ofner 88 88
Daniel Altmaier 89 89
Borna Coric 90 90
Fabio Fognini 91 91
Luca Nardi 92 92
Adam Walton 93 93
Otto Virtanen 94 94
Emil Ruusuvuori 95 95
Yannick Hanfmann 96 96
Camilo Ugo Carabelli 97 97
Sumit Nagal 98 98
Kei Nishikori 106 48 (PR)
Pablo Carreno Busta 197 18 (PR)
Reilly Opelka 293 33 (PR)
Dominic Stricker 301 94 (PR)
(WC) Kasidit Samrej 414
Nick Kyrgios - 21 (PR)
Jenson Brooksby - 52 (PR)
(WC)
(WC)
(WC)
(WC)
(WC)
(WC)
(WC)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)

Alternates
Name Current Ranking Entry Ranking

1 Jacob Fearnley 99 99
2 Federico Coria 100 100
3 Lucas Pouille 101 101
4 Dominik Koepfer 102 102
5 Mattia Bellucci 103 103
6 Marton Fucsovics 104 104
7 Max Purcell 105 105
8 Borna Gojo 445 106 (PR)
9 Christopher Eubanks 107 107
10 Francesco Passaro 108 108
11 Thiago Monteiro 109 109
12 Nicolas Moreno De Alboran 110 110
13 Aleksandar Kovacevic 111 111
14 Jesper de Jong 112 112
15 Mikhail Kukushkin 113 113
16 Hamad Medjedovic 114 114
17 Laslo Djere 115 115
18 Harold Mayot 116 116
19 Thiago Agustin Tirante 117 117
20 Alexander Ritschard 118 118

[ti-amie]

[ti-amie]

[ti-amie]

UPDATED MD Singles Entry Lists

Entries
Seed* Name Current Ranking Entry Ranking

1 Jannik Sinner 1 1
2 Alexander Zverev 2 2
3 Carlos Alcaraz 3 3
4 Taylor Fritz 4 4
5 Daniil Medvedev 5 5
6 Casper Ruud 6 6
7 Novak Djokovic 7 7
8 Andrey Rublev 8 8
9 Alex de Minaur 9 9
10 Grigor Dimitrov 10 10
11 Stefanos Tsitsipas 11 11
12 Tommy Paul 12 12
13 Holger Rune 13 13
14 Ugo Humbert 14 14
15 Jack Draper 15 15
16 Hubert Hurkacz 16 16
17 Lorenzo Musetti 17 17
18 Frances Tiafoe 18 18
19 Karen Khachanov 19 19
20 Arthur Fils 20 20
21 Ben Shelton 21 21
22 Sebastian Korda 22 22
23 Alejandro Tabilo 23 23
24 Alexei Popyrin 24 24
25 Tomas Machac 25 25
26 Jordan Thompson 26 26
27 Sebastian Baez 27 27
28 Jiri Lehecka 28 28
29 Felix Auger-Aliassime 29 29
30 Francisco Cerundolo 30 30
31 Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 31 31
32 Flavio Cobolli 32 32
Alexander Bublik 33 33
Matteo Berrettini 34 34
Nicolas Jarry 35 35
Nuno Borges 36 36
Matteo Arnaldi 37 37
Brandon Nakashima 38 38
Tomas Martin Etcheverry 39 39
Tallon Griekspoor 40 40
Alex Michelsen 41 41
Jan-Lennard Struff 42 42
Pedro Martinez 43 43
Luciano Darderi 44 44
Zhizhen Zhang 45 45
Marcos Giron 46 46
Mariano Navone 47 47
Jakub Mensik 48 48
Cameron Norrie 49 49
Juncheng Shang 50 50
Roberto Bautista Agut 51 51
David Goffin 52 52
Lorenzo Sonego 53 53
Miomir Kecmanovic 54 54
Gael Monfils 55 55
Denis Shapovalov 56 56
Roberto Carballes Baena 57 57
Fabian Marozsan 58 58
Arthur Rinderknech 59 59
Roman Safiullin 60 60
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 61 61
Jaume Munar 62 62
Arthur Cazaux 63 63
Christopher O'Connell 64 64
Yunchaokete Bu 65 65
Adrian Mannarino 66 66
Alexandre Muller 67 67
Aleksandar Vukic 68 68
Yoshihito Nishioka 69 69
Corentin Moutet 70 70
Zizou Bergs 71 71
Quentin Halys 72 72
Rinky Hijikata 73 73
Thiago Seyboth Wild 74 74
Benjamin Bonzi 75 75
Hugo Gaston 76 76
Thanasi Kokkinakis 77 77
Alexander Shevchenko 78 78
Facundo Diaz Acosta 79 79
Botic van de Zandschulp 80 80
Dusan Lajovic 81 81
James Duckworth 82 82
Damir Dzumhur 83 83
Taro Daniel 84 84
Francisco Comesana 85 85
Pavel Kotov 86 86
Gabriel Diallo 87 87
Daniel Altmaier 89 89
Borna Coric 90 90
Fabio Fognini 91 91
Luca Nardi 92 92
Adam Walton 93 93
Otto Virtanen 94 94
Emil Ruusuvuori 95 95
Yannick Hanfmann 96 96
Camilo Ugo Carabelli 97 97
Sumit Nagal 98 98
Jacob Fearnley 99 99
Kei Nishikori 106 48 (PR)
Pablo Carreno Busta 197 18 (PR)
Reilly Opelka 293 33 (PR)
Dominic Stricker 301 94 (PR)
(WC) Kasidit Samrej 414
Nick Kyrgios - 21 (PR)
Jenson Brooksby - 52 (PR)
(WC)
(WC)
(WC)
(WC)
(WC)
(WC)
(WC)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)
(Q)

Alternates
Name Current Ranking Entry Ranking

1 Federico Coria 100 100
2 Lucas Pouille 101 101
3 Dominik Koepfer 102 102
4 Mattia Bellucci 103 103
5 Marton Fucsovics 104 104
6 Max Purcell 105 105
7 Borna Gojo 445 106 (PR)
8 Christopher Eubanks 107 107
9 Francesco Passaro 108 108
10 Thiago Monteiro 109 109
11 Nicolas Moreno De Alboran 110 110
12 Aleksandar Kovacevic 111 111
13 Jesper de Jong 112 112
14 Mikhail Kukushkin 113 113
15 Hamad Medjedovic 114 114
16 Laslo Djere 115 115
17 Harold Mayot 116 116
18 Thiago Agustin Tirante 117 117
19 Alexander Ritschard 118 118
20 Chun-Hsin Tseng 119 119

Withdrawals

Name Current Ranking Entry Ranking
Sebastian Ofner 88 88

[ashkor87]

i really cannot envisage anyone but Sinner winning this.. wont even bother to talk probabilities...

[ponchi101]

So Alcaraz, a 4 time slam champion that does well on a slow court (one of your favorite indicators for winners) has zero chance.
24 time slam champion, 10 time Aussie champion Djokovic has no chance.
The guy that won las year after dropping the first two sets in the final against an opponent that had played 3 five setters in a row (IIRC) has 100% chance of winning it.
Yes, he is the favorite. There is no question.
Nobody else having a chance is a bit too extreme.

[ti-amie]

[ashkor87]

So Alcaraz, a 4 time slam champion that does well on a slow court (one of your favorite indicators for winners) has zero chance.
24 time slam champion, 10 time Aussie champion Djokovic has no chance.
The guy that won las year after dropping the first two sets in the final against an opponent that had played 3 five setters in a row (IIRC) has 100% chance of winning it.
Yes, he is the favorite. There is no question.
Nobody else having a chance is a bit too extreme.

I had updated my estimates on a different board- here they are again
Sinner 80%
Djokovic 10
Alcaraz 5
deMinaur 5

Sabalenka 40%
Coco 40%
Rybakina 10
Field 10

[ashkor87]

So Alcaraz, a 4 time slam champion that does well on a slow court (one of your favorite indicators for winners) has zero chance.
24 time slam champion, 10 time Aussie champion Djokovic has no chance.
The guy that won las year after dropping the first two sets in the final against an opponent that had played 3 five setters in a row (IIRC) has 100% chance of winning it.
Yes, he is the favorite. There is no question.
Nobody else having a chance is a bit too extreme.

I had updated my estimates on a different board- here they are again
Sinner 80%
Djokovic 10
Alcaraz 5
deMinaur 5

Sabalenka 40%
Coco 40%
Rybakina 10
Field 10

[ashkor87]

Sorry for multiple post...

[ponchi101]

I don't think DeMinaur will do much. Sure, he is the fastest guy on tour on a hard court. But he lacks weapons. Compared to several other top 10, he is undersized and has very little power (for that level).
I would, at the very least, rank Zverev, Medvedev and Rublev above him.

[skatingfan]

I don't think DeMinaur will do much. Sure, he is the fastest guy on tour on a hard court. But he lacks weapons. Compared to several other top 10, he is undersized and has very little power (for that level).
I would, at the very least, rank Zverev, Medvedev and Rublev above him.

Plus he hasn't held up physically at the last two majors - walkover to Djokovic at Wimbledon, and unable to muster much of an effort against Draper at the US Open.

[ashkor87]

Certainly I would rank Zverev and Medvedev above DeM but do they have a shot at winning the whole thing? No.

[ashkor87]

Certainly I would rank Zverev and Medvedev above DeM but do they have a shot at winning the whole thing? No.

to elaborate: i think the Ao will be too quick for Zverev - he will certainly do well at RG, where he gets more time to take his big swings.. Medvedev, yes, he has the game to win the AO, but hasnt been playing well lately.. maybe a bit demotivated by the rise of Sinner and Alcaraz? who knows? I reallly dont see anyone else.. DeMnaur is just a wild card for me - the crowd will be behind him, the fast surafec will suit him, and he is in form.. so 5% chance..

[ponchi101]

I believe that Medvedev has reached some state of burn out.
He reminds me of those players in the past that played the villain and claimed they did not mind being hated by the crowd. And then, one day, it did mean something. Rios eventually vanished in a puff, Mac's antics made him very unpopular (we forget now that he is older). I think Daniil's attitude has scorched a bit, and he is unmotivated to go on court.
Compare that to Carlitos or Sinner. Always welcomed on court, so that makes it for a nicer start. Daniil does not have that on his side.