by
ti-amie Colette Lewis
@zootennis.bsky.social
Current standings in the USTA's Australian Open Wild Card race:
by
ti-amie Colette Lewis
@zootennis.bsky.social
· 35m
Latest standings in USTA's Australian Open Wild Card Race, with this the last week for women; men have two weeks remaining
by ashkor87 now that the 2025 season is done, and there is nothing really happening till the AO..
I certainly think Rybakina is the most likely to win it - on the men's side, it is a dead-heat between the big 2, let us hope both are fit.. I would expect Sinner to win, but who knows..
those who will do well:
Men; FAA, Fritz, Mensik
Women: Rybakina, Sabalenka, Gauff, (could win the title) - Pegula will do well, too, and also Paolini, but wont contend for the title.. the wild card I am looking forward to seeing is Mboko.. she could do anythng and everything.. look forward to Osaka coming back..
the ones who will disappoint ( at least according to rankings) are Anisimova and Keys.. Keys doesnt appear to be back to health and form, and the court will be too fast for AA - she takes a bit longer to get in position and swing at the ball..Swiatek is an enigma, never does well there but who knows?
by ponchi101 You are going by recency bias.
I would love for Elena to win it. Make me shut my mouth about her being a one slam wonder.
But the last three months from her are the anomaly, not the rule. Remember she fluctuates wildly.
And your standards are sometimes too high. Swiatek has reached the semis twice. She has not won it, of course, but that does not mean "never does well".
And nobody saw her winning Wimby and then...
So, I say she is good for the semis again.
by ashkor87 It is not unheard of for the yec champion to win the AO..momentum..Rybakina seems to have found her mojo, I think she will win
by
meganfernandez ashkor87 wrote: ↑Mon Dec 08, 2025 1:15 am
now that the 2025 season is done, and there is nothing really happening till the AO..
I certainly think Rybakina is the most likely to win it - on the men's side, it is a dead-heat between the big 2, let us hope both are fit.. I would expect Sinner to win, but who knows..
those who will do well:
Men; FAA, Fritz, Mensik
Women: Rybakina, Sabalenka, Gauff, (could win the title) - Pegula will do well, too, and also Paolini, but wont contend for the title.. the wild card I am looking forward to seeing is Mboko.. she could do anythng and everything.. look forward to Osaka coming back..
the ones who will disappoint ( at least according to rankings) are Anisimova and Keys.. Keys doesnt appear to be back to health and form, and the court will be too fast for AA - she takes a bit longer to get in position and swing at the ball..Swiatek is an enigma, never does well there but who knows?
last year, Rybakina beat Sabalenka 3 and 0 in the Brisbane final, then lost in the second round of the Aussie to Blinkova in a 42-point third-set tiebreak. Rybakina is inconsistent. She can win. But she is more susceptible to an upset than the other top players.
by
ponchi101 ashkor87 wrote: ↑Mon Dec 08, 2025 1:15 am
now that the 2025 season is done, and there is nothing really happening till the AO..
I certainly think Rybakina is the most likely to win it - on the men's side, it is a dead-heat between the big 2, let us hope both are fit.. I would expect Sinner to win, but who knows..
those who will do well:
Men; FAA, Fritz, Mensik
Women: Rybakina, Sabalenka, Gauff, (could win the title) - Pegula will do well, too, and also Paolini, but wont contend for the title.. the wild card I am looking forward to seeing is Mboko.. she could do anythng and everything.. look forward to Osaka coming back..
the ones who will disappoint ( at least according to rankings) are Anisimova and Keys.. Keys doesnt appear to be back to health and form, and the court will be too fast for AA - she takes a bit longer to get in position and swing at the ball..Swiatek is an enigma, never does well there but who knows?
Reading this again. And this is a serious question.
You think that the court is going to be so fast that the USO RU, the previous slam, will have problems there? I mean, Amanda is good for a QF showing, at least.
by ashkor87 I don't think AA can win the whole thing, certainly QF, SF can happen..her slowness to set up will only matter against the top players
by
ashkor87 meganfernandez wrote: ↑Mon Dec 08, 2025 7:43 pm
then lost in the second round of the Aussie to Blinkova in a 42-po
did you see that match? it was clear Ryba was injured.. this year, she is in a good place mentally, should win now.
by
ashkor87 ashkor87 wrote: ↑Tue Dec 09, 2025 2:19 am
I don't think AA can win the whole thing, certainly QF, SF can happen..her slowness to set up will only matter against the top players
as usual, the things I talk about, are very marginal, make a only 5% difference - which is what makes them interesting to me.
by
ashkor87 ponchi101 wrote: ↑Mon Dec 08, 2025 3:00 pm
I say she is good for the semis again.
would even her mother be satisfied with that?! that is what I mean by 'not do well'
by
ponchi101 It's just that your way of saying it is too extreme for me. Making the semis at any slam is an excellent result.
To me.
by
ashkor87
but is it to her?
by ashkor87 Agassi once said..you dont win silver you lose gold..i imagine all the top players think like that- which is why they are top players..
by Suliso Yes, but the list of such players is very short indeed. Probably no more than five of each gender.
by ponchi101 Ayrton Senna said: coming in second is being the first of the losers.
Yes. Steffi would shut herself down for days after losing a slam final. We know those stories. But I wonder, and especially in this era in which we acknowledge mental health and related issues, how healthy is that. If making the semis of a slam is something that makes you feel like a loser, I really wonder how well adjusted you are.
Chris Lewis is more accomplished than 99.99% of all players. So is Martin Verkerk and Albert Porta. And if Iga really would feel that reaching the semis of the Aussie is "not doing well", then that shrink of hers sucks.
by
ashkor87 Suliso wrote: ↑Sat Dec 13, 2025 6:18 pm
Yes, but the list of such players is very short indeed. Probably no more than five of each gender.
yes, we were talking of folks like Iga and Anisimova.. they are in that list, I imagine
by ashkor87 Rewatched Mboko beating Rybakina in Canada..severely exploited Ryba's slow movement..on the fast AO courts, Mboko and Coco are the ones who can beat Rybakina and Anisimova, with defense and movement .Paolini can, too.. I don't expect the big guns - Saba and Iga, to be able to do it . It all depends on the draw.
