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Re: '23 RG Women's Draw & Discussion

Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 11:10 pm
by ti-amie

Re: '23 RG Women's Draw & Discussion

Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 11:21 pm
by ponchi101
ti-amie wrote: Tue Jun 06, 2023 11:00 pm
Owendonovan wrote: Tue Jun 06, 2023 10:39 pm Sabalenka pulled a total d*ck move at the net with Svitolina.
I saw the picture earlier and wondered why Sabalenka went to the net to wait for Svitolina when she knew that wasn't going to happen.
I'm trying to find video or the photo.
Devil's advocate.
If Aryna is the one that does not go to the net, how does that look on her? "Oh, I don't want to shake hands with the Ukrainians". It could look like she would be the "rude one" in this case.
If she goes to the net, at least it may look like she has nothing against them.

Re: '23 RG Women's Draw & Discussion

Posted: Tue Jun 06, 2023 11:24 pm
by ti-amie
French Open 2023 results: Elina Svitolina booed after losing to Aryna Sabalenka in Paris
By Jonathan Jurejko
BBC Sport at Roland Garros

Image
Ukraine's Elina Svitolina, who has not shaken hands with Russian opponents, was booed after walking past Belarus' Aryna Sabalenka when she waited at the net

Ukraine's Elina Svitolina accused Belarusian Aryna Sabalenka of encouraging French Open fans to boo her by waiting at the net for a handshake following their tense quarter-final.

Svitolina has not shaken hands with Russian opponents since Ukraine was invaded with support from Belarus.

Before her loss to Sabalenka, Svitolina made clear she would again avoid it.

Asked if Sabalenka inflamed the boos with her actions, Svitolina said: "I think so, unfortunately."

Sabalenka responded by saying her reaction was "an instinct".

It was a sour end to 28-year-old Svitolina's dream run at Roland Garros as Sabalenka, seeded second, kept focus to reach the semi-finals.

Svitolina, playing in her first Grand Slam since giving birth in October, lost 6-4 6-4 on the Paris clay.

"I don't know what she was waiting for, because my statements were clear enough about the handshake," Svitolina said.

On the booing, she added: "It was quite expected. Whoever in this situation loses, I guess gets booed. It was not a surprise for me."

There was a tense atmosphere in a quarter-final between two women whose nations are on opposing sides of Russia's war in Ukraine.

Sabalenka, 25, underlined why she is one of the favourites for the title and will play Karolina Muchova in the last four.

The unseeded Czech reached her first French Open semi-final with a straight-set victory over former finalist Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova.

https://www.bbc.com/sport/tennis/658200 ... rter-final.

Re: '23 RG Women's Draw & Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 07, 2023 12:19 am
by Owendonovan
ponchi101 wrote: Tue Jun 06, 2023 11:21 pm
ti-amie wrote: Tue Jun 06, 2023 11:00 pm
Owendonovan wrote: Tue Jun 06, 2023 10:39 pm Sabalenka pulled a total d*ck move at the net with Svitolina.
I saw the picture earlier and wondered why Sabalenka went to the net to wait for Svitolina when she knew that wasn't going to happen.
I'm trying to find video or the photo.
Devil's advocate.
If Aryna is the one that does not go to the net, how does that look on her? "Oh, I don't want to shake hands with the Ukrainians". It could look like she would be the "rude one" in this case.
If she goes to the net, at least it may look like she has nothing against them.
A quick visual acknowledgment was all that was needed. It's no secret to any Russian or Belarussian player who will and won't be shaking hands from the Ukraine. That's just my take.

Re: '23 RG Women's Draw & Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 07, 2023 4:45 pm
by ashkor87
Probabilities:
Swiatek 80 - BHM 20%
Sabalenka 55 - Muchova 45%

sounds fair?

Re: '23 RG Women's Draw & Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 07, 2023 5:13 pm
by Suliso
I'd give Sabalenka a bit more.

Re: '23 RG Women's Draw & Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 07, 2023 7:33 pm
by ponchi101
And BHM pushed Iga to a 7-5 3rd set in their last meeting.
But I agree with Aryna/Muchova. Muchova has weapons, and the movement is superb. It should be the second match of the day because it has much more upside.

Re: '23 RG Women's Draw & Discussion

Posted: Wed Jun 07, 2023 11:11 pm
by skatingfan
ponchi101 wrote: Wed Jun 07, 2023 7:33 pm And BHM pushed Iga to a 7-5 3rd set in their last meeting.
But I agree with Aryna/Muchova. Muchova has weapons, and the movement is superb. It should be the second match of the day because it has much more upside.
I think you mean Iga pushed BHM to 7-5 in the 3rd in their last, and only meeting.

Toronto 2022 Haddad Maia def Swiatek 6-4, 3-6, 7-5

Re: '23 RG Women's Draw & Discussion

Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2023 12:11 am
by ponchi101
skatingfan wrote: Wed Jun 07, 2023 11:11 pm
ponchi101 wrote: Wed Jun 07, 2023 7:33 pm And BHM pushed Iga to a 7-5 3rd set in their last meeting.
But I agree with Aryna/Muchova. Muchova has weapons, and the movement is superb. It should be the second match of the day because it has much more upside.
I think you mean Iga pushed BHM to 7-5 in the 3rd in their last, and only meeting.

Toronto 2022 Haddad Maia def Swiatek 6-4, 3-6, 7-5
Tzs, I read it backwards.
So... I do give her some chance. Although we know that Iga loves clay more than hards (by a bit).

Re: '23 RG Women's Draw & Discussion

Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2023 2:20 am
by ashkor87
The prediction (presumably by Infosys analytics) is
Swiatek 90% to BHM 10%
Sabalenka 73% to Muchova 27%
Both seem high to me...

Re: '23 RG Women's Draw & Discussion

Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2023 1:44 pm
by ponchi101
Especially the Muchova/Sabalenka. But then again, maybe this certainly-AI-driven thing has no eyes to look at the matches.

Re: '23 RG Women's Draw & Discussion

Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2023 4:25 pm
by ashkor87
Phew...saba choked again...

Re: '23 RG Women's Draw & Discussion

Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2023 4:26 pm
by jazzyg
I would put the Swiatek-Haddad Maia match at 100-0.

Re: '23 RG Women's Draw & Discussion

Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2023 4:34 pm
by ponchi101
ashkor87 wrote: Thu Jun 08, 2023 4:25 pm Phew...saba choked again...
I would give Muchova a bit more credit than Saba choked. Sure, she had MP, and she hit those two DF's. But she never stopped hitting out on her strokes.

Re: '23 RG Women's Draw & Discussion

Posted: Thu Jun 08, 2023 5:25 pm
by ashkor87
Now swiatek won't have much trouble with Muchova.,only Ryba or Saba could have ..,90% swiatek I would say..