by ponchi101 A bit of a larger crowd for this SP, but you guys have made it here. Congrats!

Cantplaytennis420: -- Azarenka -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Kostyuk -- Wozniacki -- Badosa -- Samsonova -- Zheng
Casperpod: -- Badosa -- Sorribes Tormo -- Keys -- Shnaider -- Zheng -- Pegula -- Sabalenka
Catman: -- Ruse -- Sorribes Tormo -- Svitolina -- Wozniacki -- Badosa -- Shnaider -- Zheng
Cdavid99: -- Townsend -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Svitolina -- Haddad Maia -- Zheng -- Shnaider -- Navarro
Dollymix: -- Ruse -- Krueger -- Navarro -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Vekic -- Wozniacki -- Badosa
Du pioneers: -- Stearns -- Krueger -- Kostyuk -- Wozniacki -- Badosa -- Shnaider -- Vekic
Hotchocolate: -- Alexandrova -- Ponchet -- Keys -- Potapova -- Vekic -- Shnaider -- Zheng
Ironmike: -- Ruse -- Krueger -- Azarenka -- Kalinskaya -- Vekic -- Wozniacki -- Zheng
Jazzyg: -- Svitolina -- Bouzkova -- Azarenka -- Potapova -- Zheng -- Shnaider -- Badosa
Joanjettson: -- Townsend -- Wozniacki -- Azarenka -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Badosa -- Shnaider -- Zheng
Keirules: -- Vekic -- Bouzkova -- Keys -- Haddad Maia -- Zheng -- Wozniacki -- Badosa
Khethux: -- Anhelina Kalinina -- Sorribes Tormo -- Alexandrova -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Vekic -- L. Samsonova -- Badosa
Ktothem1: -- Townsend -- Wozniacki -- Kostyuk -- Potapova -- Navarro -- Shnaider -- Badosa
Lauriejo: -- Townsend -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Navarro -- Wozniacki -- Zheng -- Samsonova -- Badosa
Lukeorion: -- Badosa -- Bouzkova -- Kostyuk -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Vekic -- Shnaider -- Zheng
Marsny: -- Kasatkina -- Wozniacki -- Alexandrova -- Potapova -- Badosa -- Samsonova -- Vekic
Milesbma2: -- Cori Gauff . -- Elena Rybakina . -- Emma Navarro . -- C. Wozniacki . -- Vekic -- Muchova -- Badosa
Mocam57: -- Townsend -- Pavliuchenkova -- Alexandrova -- Kalinskaya -- Badosa -- Samsonova -- Zheng
Mr_socko: -- Vekic -- Kalinskaya -- Keys -- Haddad Maia -- Badosa -- Shnaider -- Zheng
Mu_royals: -- Taylor Townsend -- Caroline Wozniacki -- Elina Svitlolina -- Anatasia Potapova -- Paula Badosa -- Diana Shnaider -- Donna Vekic
Naughtyt: -- Badosa -- Xinyu Wang -- Vekic -- Shnaider -- Navarro -- Samsonova -- Zheng
Patrick: -- Azarenka -- Krueger -- Keys -- Kalinskaya -- Navarro -- Shnaider -- Zheng
Ptmcmahon: -- Townsend -- Krueger -- Kostyuk -- Potapova -- Badosa -- Shnaider -- Zheng
Rashmi: -- Azarenka -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Alexandrova -- Wozniacki -- Badosa -- Shnaider -- Zheng
Rktct2b: -- Townsend -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Kostyuk -- Potapova -- Vekic -- Samsonova -- Badosa
Skim5150: -- Stearns -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Navarro -- Putintseva -- Zheng -- Wozniacki -- Vekic
Sokol: -- Azarenka -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Alexandrova -- Wozniacki -- Vekic -- Shnaider -- Zheng
Soulcandy93: -- Alexandrova -- Sorribes Tormo -- Kostyuk -- Putintseva -- Vekic -- Samsonova -- Badosa
Spencerlee: -- Stearns -- Muchova -- Niemeier -- Wozniacki -- Badosa -- Shnaider -- Sabalenka
Suliso: -- Azarenka -- Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova -- Navarro -- Wozniacki -- Zheng -- Samsonova -- Badosa
Tennisbrp: -- Azarenka -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Keys -- Putintseva -- Navarro -- Shnaider -- Zheng
Twinetime: -- Victoria Azarenka -- Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova -- Madison Keys -- Kalinskaya -- Badosa -- Shnaider -- Zheng
Valynn: -- Alexandrova -- Wozniacki -- Vekic -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Zheng -- Shnaider -- Badosa
Wolfie0890: -- Maria -- Wozniacki -- Alexandrova -- Potapova -- Badosa. -- Shnaider -- Zheng
Wolfy333: -- Alexandrova -- Samsonova -- Svitolina -- Potapova -- Badosa -- Shnaider -- Vekic

by naughtyT Not a single loser today! Amazing effort people!

by ponchi101 Picks for day 7:
Zheng 16
Badosa 11
Vekic 5
Sabalenka 2
Navarro 1

We can have a second day of no losers. Seems like the picks are solid.
Good luck to everyone.

by dollymix
ponchi101 wrote: Sun Sep 01, 2024 4:36 pm Picks for day 7:
Zheng 16
Badosa 11
Vekic 5
Sabalenka 2
Navarro 1

We can have a second day of no losers. Seems like the picks are solid.
Good luck to everyone.
It would be pretty impressive if both Zheng and Vekic won.

by ponchi101
dollymix wrote: Sun Sep 01, 2024 4:40 pm
ponchi101 wrote: Sun Sep 01, 2024 4:36 pm Picks for day 7:
Zheng 16
Badosa 11
Vekic 5
Sabalenka 2
Navarro 1

We can have a second day of no losers. Seems like the picks are solid.
Good luck to everyone.
It would be pretty impressive if both Zheng and Vekic won.
Indeed. I mixed Zheng with Wang.
Scratch my comment ;)

by Suliso I can't believe I'm still alive. It's been years...

by jazzyg Same here.

by ptmcmahon Almsot 3:30 here… can’t remember staying up this late ever for a SP pick before!

by patrick Had to make my SP this morning

by joanjettson Point after point, as Donna Vekic shared the agony of Being Donna Vekic, I kept thinking of WSP champion @tennisbrp and her tribute to DV: how many times has Donna left "sobbing off the court" at the end of three sets - add another occasion to the count!

by ponchi101 We only lost the 5 Vekic pickers. Hell of a tournament still, gang.
The rest: good luck. You are almost there :thumbsup:

by ponchi101 Because this is the updated topic, and the parser I use does a couple of things differently, THIS POST will be the one keeping track of the picks by the players that reached this UPDATE. You can check all your previous picks in the first post.

Cantplaytennis420: -- Zheng -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Sabalenka
Casperpod: -- Sabalenka -- Muchova -- Navarro -- Haddad Maia
Catman: -- Zheng -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Sabalenka
Cdavid99: -- Navarro -- Pegula -- Badosa
Dollymix: -- Badosa -- Haddad Maia -- Sabalenka -- Muchova -- Pegula
Du pioneers: -- Vekic
Hotchocolate: -- Zheng -- Haddad Maia -- Navarro -- Swiatek
Ironmike: -- Zheng -- Pegula -- Sabalenka -- Swiatek
Jazzyg: -- Badosa -- Swiatek -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Pegula
Joanjettson: -- Zheng -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Sabalenka
Keirules: -- Badosa -- Swiatek -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Pegula
Khethux: -- Badosa -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Pegula (Double pick)
Ktothem1: -- Badosa -- Pegula -- Sabalenka -- Muchova -- NO PICK
Lauriejo: -- Badosa -- Haddad Maia -- Sabalenka -- Muchova -- Pegula
Lukeorion: -- Zheng -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Sabalenka
Marsny: -- Vekic
Milesbma2: -- Badosa -- Pegula -- Sabalenka -- Haddad Maia
Mocam57: -- Zheng -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Haddad Maia
Mr_socko: -- Zheng -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Sabalenka
Mu_royals: -- Donna Vekic
Naughtyt: -- Zheng -- Wozniacki
Patrick: -- Zheng -- Haddad Maia -- Badosa
Ptmcmahon: -- Zheng -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Sabalenka
Rashmi: -- Zheng -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Swiatek
Rktct2b: -- Badosa -- Haddad Maia -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Pegula
Skim5150: -- Vekic
Sokol: -- Zheng -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Sabalenka
Soulcandy93: -- Badosa -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Sabalenka
Spencerlee: -- Sabalenka -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Haddad Maia
Suliso: -- Badosa -- Haddad Maia -- Sabalenka -- Muchova -- Pegula
Tennisbrp: -- Zheng -- Haddad Maia -- Badosa
Twinetime: -- Zheng -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Sabalenka
Valynn: -- Badosa -- Haddad Maia -- Navarro -- Swiatek
Wolfie0890: -- Zheng -- Haddad Maia -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Pegula
Wolfy333: -- Vekic

by ponchi101 The breakdown for day 8 is:
Pegula 17
Haddad Maia 9
Swiatek 2
Wozniacki 1
Muchova 1

I think you will do fine.
(Me and my jinxes... :evil: )

by ponchi101 And we continue to do really well.
We only lost one Wozniacki picker.
Keep on going, gang.

by ptmcmahon I initially wrote Woz, then figured the other match was the "safer" pick.

by Suliso On paper I'm still alive, but in practice dead. Just not enough upsets for me to win now. Took Navarro too early and this time that's all it took...

I think there will be many winners.

by jazzyg Likely depends on whether Pegula beats Swiatek.

I think she will. Most do not.

by Suliso I doubt it very much. Maybe I still have a chance if Navarro beats Sabalenka, but that sounds even less likely.

by jazzyg My track record when going against the crowd in these contests with the women is abysmal, although it hasn't come into play for a long time because I haven't lasted long enough to try it.

Would have beaten the draw at Wimbledon several years ago (when it was easier to do so because all the fourth rounds and quarterfinals were played on one day) if I had simply picked Sharapova to beat Vandeweghe instead of the reverse.

by Suliso Sabalenka vs Swiatek is so likely... I bet whoever still can is goig for that outcome.

by ponchi101 Sorry for the delay. Was training myself.
Today's picks:
Navarro 20
Sabalenka 6
Badosa 3

We have lost the Badosa pickers already, but at least 20 people will get a chance for one more round. Seeing as Sabalenka should be favored for today, as Suliso says: seems there will be many winners.

by ponchi101 Sabalenka goes through.
26 people still alive.

by Wolfie0890 I’m in uncharted territory, have accepted my path with light in the end, and am glad to share it with all the remaining pickers.

by joanjettson 3 highly uncertain picks to go

by ponchi101 The breakdown for day 10 is:
Muchova 19
Haddad Maia 4
Swiatek 3


A clear bandwagon, and at least 4 players will bid adieu.
Good luck to all.

EDIT:
7 are out.
I will look at how many can have options to beat the draw. I think just a few.

by ptmcmahon If I count correctly, only four people have two players left - Pegula and Sabalenka: Jazzyg, Keirules, Rktct2b, and Wolfie0890

The rest of us are all hoping Muchova beats Pegula tomorrow... and our other pick wins too of course!

by ponchi101 You are correct.

by Suliso I need Pegula-Navarro final...

by joanjettson I need to send Muchova some Pepto and a pep talk

by ponchi101
joanjettson wrote: Thu Sep 05, 2024 6:02 pm I need to send Muchova some Pepto and a pep talk
The pepto I agree. The pep talk you can spare her; she is playing confident tennis dialed to 11.
She should do fine in that aspect.

by ponchi101 Today's breakdown:
Sabalenka 9
Pegula 8
Swiatek 1

The Swiatek pick has been eliminated. We will see how many remain.

by ptmcmahon If I count right:

If Pegula wins - we have four people who will be able to pick Sabalenka in the final. All nine of us who picked Sabalenka today are out of picks now, and 4 people used Pegula as their last pick.

If Muchova wins - All nine of us who picked Sabalenka will tie

So looks like either 4 (if everyone actually makes their pick of course) or 9 winners - tiebreakers for prizes will be needed for sure!

by ponchi101 Thanks for doing the math for me.
Everybody that wins gets a trophy. Read Dave's post for the tiebreak for the swag prize.

by ptmcmahon Going to a decider!

by jazzyg Not since Togtdyalttai in the 2022 U.S. Open has anyone beaten the draw in a women's survivor pool.

Four of us will end that drought if Sabalenka beats Pegula on Saturday.

Pegula has been remarkably consistent this summer. She beat Shnaider 6-4, 6-3 in Canada and 6-4, 6-2 here. She beat Muchova 5-7, 6-4, 6-2 in Cincinnati and 1-6, 6-4, 6-2 here. But she lost to Sabalenka 6-3, 7-5 in Cincinnati, so she will need to up her game even more to have a shot.

by Suliso I think it's the first time I've finished this game by running out of picks (ca 60 tournaments).

by joanjettson I hope you all beat the draw! 🐯🏆

by ponchi101 As PT pointed out, with Pegula's win, only 4 players have one pick left. All have Sabalenka available for the final.
Although your pick is obvious, YOU STILL HAVE TO POST IT! I will start that topic in a short while, so you can post your pick as soon as you wish.
All four get TAT trophies, but we also have a swag prize from Jon Wertheim. Be sure to read THESE INSTRUCTIONS and then send your tie-breaking predictions to BOTH dave g and myself via Private Message. These predictions must be in, together with your pick, before the start of the final.

The final standings for the UPDATED list are:
Cantplaytennis420: -- Azarenka -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Kostyuk -- Wozniacki -- Badosa -- Samsonova -- Zheng -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Sabalenka. OUT OF PICKS
Catman: -- Ruse -- Sorribes Tormo -- Svitolina -- Wozniacki -- Badosa -- Shnaider -- Zheng -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Sabalenka. OUT OF PICKS
Dollymix: -- Ruse -- Krueger -- Navarro -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Vekic -- Wozniacki -- Badosa -- Haddad Maia -- Sabalenka -- Muchova -- Pegula. OUT OF PICKS

Jazzyg: -- Svitolina -- Bouzkova -- Azarenka -- Potapova -- Zheng -- Shnaider -- Badosa -- Swiatek -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Pegula
Joanjettson: -- Townsend -- Wozniacki -- Azarenka -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Badosa -- Shnaider -- Zheng -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Sabalenka. OUT OF PICKS
Keirules: -- Vekic -- Bouzkova -- Keys -- Haddad Maia -- Zheng -- Wozniacki -- Badosa -- Swiatek -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Pegula.
Khethux: -- Anhelina Kalinina -- Sorribes Tormo -- Alexandrova -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Vekic -- L. Samsonova -- Badosa -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Pegula. DOUBLE PICK.
Lauriejo: -- Townsend -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Navarro -- Wozniacki -- Zheng -- Samsonova -- Badosa -- Haddad Maia -- Sabalenka -- Muchova -- Pegula. OUT OF PICKS
Lukeorion: -- Badosa -- Bouzkova -- Kostyuk -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Vekic -- Shnaider -- Zheng -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Sabalenka. OUT OF PICKS
Mr_socko: -- Vekic -- Kalinskaya -- Keys -- Haddad Maia -- Badosa -- Shnaider -- Zheng -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Sabalenka. OUT OF PICKS
Ptmcmahon: -- Townsend -- Krueger -- Kostyuk -- Potapova -- Badosa -- Shnaider -- Zheng -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Sabalenka. OUT OF PICKS

Rktct2b: -- Townsend -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Kostyuk -- Potapova -- Vekic -- Samsonova -- Badosa -- Haddad Maia -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Pegula
Sokol: -- Azarenka -- Pavlyuchenkova -- Alexandrova -- Wozniacki -- Vekic -- Shnaider -- Zheng -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Sabalenka. OUT OF PICKS
Soulcandy93: -- Alexandrova -- Sorribes Tormo -- Kostyuk -- Putintseva -- Vekic -- Samsonova -- Badosa -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Sabalenka. OUT OF PICKS
Suliso: -- Azarenka -- Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova -- Navarro -- Wozniacki -- Zheng -- Samsonova -- Badosa -- Haddad Maia -- Sabalenka -- Muchova -- Pegula. OUT OF PICKS
Twinetime: -- Victoria Azarenka -- Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova -- Madison Keys -- Kalinskaya -- Badosa -- Shnaider -- Zheng -- Pegula -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Sabalenka. OUT OF PICKS

Wolfie0890: -- Maria -- Wozniacki -- Alexandrova -- Potapova -- Badosa. -- Shnaider -- Zheng -- Haddad Maia -- Navarro -- Muchova -- Pegula

Congrats to all!!! :clap: :clap: :clap: Although most of you ended your run by running out of picks, you played a fantastic contest. Think of yourself as a Navarro or a Muchova; you did not win, but you played very well.
To the four winners: impressive. Wish you luck at the Aussie :trophy: :trophy: :trophy: :trophy:

by ptmcmahon Now that they've officially picked... congrats to our four winners!

by TwineTime Congrats to the 4 winners. Im happy to have made it through the draw at least, eliminated by the dreaded No Pick in the final.
But made it through to the final in both the men's and women's draws so I will take that as my consolation prize overall lol
What a fun slam to end the year

by Wolfie0890 Never thought I would run the table — ever. O_o

Can anyone enlighten me on a ballpark number of people who usually do for any given Grand Slam? (I'm usually long eliminated by now). And maybe it varies more for men's/women's.

But congrats to everyone else, as well. Fun ride + tournament.

See y'all down under.

by ponchi101
Wolfie0890 wrote: Sat Sep 07, 2024 10:22 pm Never thought I would run the table — ever. O_o

Can anyone enlighten me on a ballpark number of people who usually do for any given Grand Slam? (I'm usually long eliminated by now). And maybe it varies more for men's/women's.

But congrats to everyone else, as well. Fun ride + tournament.

See y'all down under.
You can see how hard it is to beat the draw in this post:
viewtopic.php?t=574#p28238
Those are the numbers for THIS forum. For TAT 1, the numbers were similar but we don't have them anymore.

It happens very rarely. Be very proud.