Russian Invasion of Ukraine
- Suliso
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Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine
Lyman has definitely been liberated. Let's see now how much further Ukrainians could advance. I'd expect a major push towards Kremenna and Svatove.
- ponchi101
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Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine
So, it seems clear that Russia can't win this war, ON THE GROUND. Their soldiers do not want to fight, their wart technology is no good, and they can't win from the air.
Plus, the country's economy will be ruined.
What is Putin's end game? I say by now, he is himself in jeopardy. he can't remain ruler of Russia, and escalating this war to the point of large bombings turns Russia into a pariah state for decades. But he is cornered.
Can the West offer him a way out?
Plus, the country's economy will be ruined.
What is Putin's end game? I say by now, he is himself in jeopardy. he can't remain ruler of Russia, and escalating this war to the point of large bombings turns Russia into a pariah state for decades. But he is cornered.
Can the West offer him a way out?
Ego figere omnia et scio supellectilem
- Suliso
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Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine
What really is "killing" Russians in this war is the unbelievably high corruption in their army. I was just reading that 1.5 million winter uniforms which were supposed to be in storage only exist on paper... Hardly the only such case.
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Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine
Are the people who took care of Nicolae Ceaușescu and his lovely wife, Elena, still around? They might have an out for him.ponchi101 wrote: ↑Sun Oct 02, 2022 3:11 pm So, it seems clear that Russia can't win this war, ON THE GROUND. Their soldiers do not want to fight, their wart technology is no good, and they can't win from the air.
Plus, the country's economy will be ruined.
What is Putin's end game? I say by now, he is himself in jeopardy. he can't remain ruler of Russia, and escalating this war to the point of large bombings turns Russia into a pariah state for decades. But he is cornered.
Can the West offer him a way out?
- ponchi101
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Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine
I agree that would be swell, but I just don't know if they are available.
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- Suliso
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Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine
About 10 years ago unoficial estimate was that 60% of Russian defence budget was stolen outright. I doubt it has improved much.
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Honorary_medal
Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine
Alexander S. Vindman follows this account so I guess this is a legit source.
“Do not grow old, no matter how long you live. Never cease to stand like curious children before the Great Mystery into which we were born.” Albert Einstein
- ponchi101
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Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine
So the circularity is this: Putin ´promotes a kleptocracy where he is the leader of all the stealing, and when he goes to war, he finds out his cronies have stolen all the money to have a proper army to go to war.
It actually has a very nice symmetry to it.
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- Suliso
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Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine
Exactly. And the things it's not only generals who steal. It goes all the way down to a lowly lieutenant and anyone at all connected to logistics. One only needs to steal appropriately for one's rank.
- Suliso
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- Suliso
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Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine
The map above seems to be outdated already. I'd say Russian forces west of the river are doomed.
- ponchi101
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Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine
Reports of thousands of Russian troops surrendering and accepting Ukraine's conditions are also easy to find on the web.
Putting aside the issues about war and everything else: this is embarrassing for Russia.
Putting aside the issues about war and everything else: this is embarrassing for Russia.
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Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine
It does, it always has, and it will happen again.ponchi101 wrote: ↑Sun Oct 02, 2022 9:00 pmSo the circularity is this: Putin ´promotes a kleptocracy where he is the leader of all the stealing, and when he goes to war, he finds out his cronies have stolen all the money to have a proper army to go to war.
It actually has a very nice symmetry to it.
- Suliso
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Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine
Ukrainians have managed to blow up a bridge connecting Crimea to Russia.
- ponchi101
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Re: Russian Invasion of Ukraine
The cost of this war, in terms of infrastructure, will be huge for Ukraine.
Can the world force Russia for reparations? As it seems they will certainly lose.
Can the world force Russia for reparations? As it seems they will certainly lose.
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