ponchi101 wrote: ↑Thu May 18, 2023 4:57 pm
Alcaraz 40%. He just lost, on a very similar court, to the #135 player in the world, in comprehensive fashion.
Djokovic 20%. He seems to have an elbow issue, and had Rune not been hurt by a bad line call from the chair umpire and checked out for the 2nd set, that match was done in two.
Rune 15%. MC finalist, Rome SF
Medvedev 10%. He is playing solid tennis on clay.
Rome winner 10%. Because Rome plays so similar to RG. If it is Rune or Medvedev, add this percentage to the one already given.
Field 5%
Swiatek 50% . She pulled from Rome with an injury, and if it is a real injury to a thigh, those don't heal that quickly.
Rybakina 20%. The one player that does not freak out one bit when things are not looking good.
Sabalenka 10%. Sure, did well in Madrid. And then flamed out vs Kenin at Rome.
Ostapenko 10%. She is belting the ball, and they are landing in.
Field 10%. Too many quality players there to count them out so easily: Krejcikova, Sakkari, Pegula, Gauff, Kudermetova, etc.
Agree Ostapenko has a shot .krejcikova and kudermetova I include in 'field'..the others you have named, no, they have no chance.. might add Kenin though, she is a proven champion..Vondrousova too has a chance, she is coming back and getting better..
And I don't think Medvedev can beat people like Alcaraz/Djokovic/Rune/Ruud from so far behind the baseline..he doesn't have the power to blow them off the court, except on serve ..
ashkor87 wrote: ↑Fri May 19, 2023 12:28 am
...
Agree Ostapenko has a shot .krejcikova and kudermetova I include in 'field'..the others you have named, no, they have no chance.. might add Kenin though, she is a proven champion..Vondrousova too has a chance, she is coming back and getting better..
And I don't think Medvedev can beat people like Alcaraz/Djokovic/Rune/Ruud from so far behind the baseline..he doesn't have the power to blow them off the court, except on serve ..
My point about WTA FIELD is that I give it 10% vs your 5%. In truth, not much difference.
The wild card now is Iga's injury. We will see in the first few matches.
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ashkor87 wrote: ↑Fri May 19, 2023 12:28 am
...
Agree Ostapenko has a shot .krejcikova and kudermetova I include in 'field'..the others you have named, no, they have no chance.. might add Kenin though, she is a proven champion..Vondrousova too has a chance, she is coming back and getting better..
And I don't think Medvedev can beat people like Alcaraz/Djokovic/Rune/Ruud from so far behind the baseline..he doesn't have the power to blow them off the court, except on serve ..
My point about WTA FIELD is that I give it 10% vs your 5%. In truth, not much difference.
The wild card now is Iga's injury. We will see in the first few matches.
Sabalenka flaming out in Rome is understandable, I would not downplay her chances at RG on that account..she had just won Madrid, and Kenin has the game that would bother her...
Yep. That would work too. Only thing against Ruud was that collapse against Rune. But give him 3 good initial rounds and the confidence may come back. But no real difference between Ruud or Stefanos. I agree.
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