Re: WTA 1000 Dubai 2/15 - 2/21 2026
Posted: Mon Feb 23, 2026 7:53 pm
I hate these stats people throw out as if they are absolute predictors.
Very few players are playing the best they've ever played for the first time at 32, which Pegula is, and let's remember, she already reached a slam final while not playing as well as she is now. She has added slice and off pace to her game when she needs it, and she is coming to the net more.
Having said all that, I agree she would come in second to either Rybakina or Sabalenka (definitely Sabalenka) if they had their A game regardless of how well she played. She would need some good fortune. And I don't think it matters at all how she performs at Indiana Wells or Miami. They're not slams. She's already proven she can be a contender at the US Open. She just has to be healthy and play her best there and see what happens.
Very few players are playing the best they've ever played for the first time at 32, which Pegula is, and let's remember, she already reached a slam final while not playing as well as she is now. She has added slice and off pace to her game when she needs it, and she is coming to the net more.
Having said all that, I agree she would come in second to either Rybakina or Sabalenka (definitely Sabalenka) if they had their A game regardless of how well she played. She would need some good fortune. And I don't think it matters at all how she performs at Indiana Wells or Miami. They're not slams. She's already proven she can be a contender at the US Open. She just has to be healthy and play her best there and see what happens.