Talk About Tennis 2.0

On the Men's side, we may need to upgrade Sinner but Alcaraz has proved again and again that he is a different animal in grand slams..

ashkor87 wrote: ↑Tue Aug 20, 2024 1:45 pm Pegula clearly isnt in the same league as the big 4..and not enough up-side to have a real shot at winning. and Coco hasnt been in such great form lately... so

Swiatek 25%
Sabalenka 20%
Rybakina 15%
Leylah 15%
Andreeva 10%
Coco 5%
Raducanu 5%
Osaka 5%
that is it. Field 0%

Rybakina is nowhere near at 15%. She is not there physically.
Swiatek has won it before, but not enough to be the top bet.
Raducanu has not played a competitive match in over a month, due to petulance. No way she has more chance than Pegula.
People in the field: Pegula, Krejcikova, Collins, Badosa. No way they have a combined 0%.
Your love for Leylah will take her to 4R.
---0---
Sinner looks like the favorite, but I say Carlitos bounces back well. This is best of five.
And He-that-shan't-be-named will always be a factor.
It seems very difficult to see anybody else.

Who would you make top bet then? Sabalenka?

Remember we are talking about chances of winning the whole thing, not doing well .does Badosa have a chance? No. Pegula? No, just not good enough .. Krejcikova maybe but not if the court is fast ..Collins, again, good player but can she win a major? Actually win? No.
Noskova has a nonzero chance, as does Andreeva..they are going to win this one day- has the day come? For Andreeva, it is rapidly approaching, just the way she is getting better and better every day

"Due to petulance" sounds live a gravestone inscription

ashkor87 wrote: ↑Tue Aug 20, 2024 3:25 pm Who would you make top bet then? Sabalenka?

Yes. I say Sabalenka has the higher percentage. I would flip Iga and her.
And I say that Pegula has a higher chance of winning the Open than Raducanu. I agree, most likely she won't, but I have eaten those words so many times in my life that I have cold cuts inscribed with them for my sandwich when I get to munch them.

I know where this is. She's a brave woman for wading into that scrum.

UPDATED Women's Entry List

US Open, New York, USA Grand Slam
Date: 8/26/2024 Original Cut Off: 96 Ranking Date: 7/15/2024
Draw Size: 128 Direct Acceptances: 104 Wild Cards: 8 Qualifiers: 16 Special Exempts: 0

Main Draw Singles
1 Swiatek, Iga (POL)
2 Gauff, Coco (USA)
3 Sabalenka, Aryna (BLR)
4 Rybakina, Elena (KAZ)
5 Paolini, Jasmine (ITA)
6 Pegula, Jessica (USA)
7 Zheng, Qinwen (CHN)
8 Sakkari, Maria (GRE)
9 Collins, Danielle (USA)
10 Krejcikova, Barbora (CZE)
11 Ostapenko, Jelena (LAT)
12 Kasatkina, Daria (RUS)
13 Samsonova, Liudmila (RUS)
14 Keys, Madison (USA)
15 Navarro, Emma (USA)
16 Jabeur, Ons (TUN)
17 Kalinskaya, Anna (RUS)
18 Vondrousova, Marketa (CZE)
19 Kostyuk, Marta (UKR)
20 Azarenka, Victoria (BLR)
21 Vekic, Donna (CRO)
22 Haddad Maia, Beatriz (BRA)
23 Fernandez, Leylah (CAN)
24 Garcia, Caroline (FRA)
25 Yastremska, Dayana (UKR)
26 Noskova, Linda (CZE)
27 Alexandrova, Ekaterina (RUS)
28 Shnaider, Diana (RUS)
29 Putintseva, Yulia (KAZ)
30 Svitolina, Elina (UKR)
31 Andreeva, Mirra (RUS)
32 Pavlyuchenkova, Anastasia (RUS)
33 Boulter, Katie (GBR)
33 Tomljanovic, Ajla (AUS) SR
34 Mertens, Elise (BEL)
35 Muchova, Karolina (CZE)
36 Wang, Xinyu (CHN)
37 Cirstea, Sorana (ROU)
38 Siniakova, Katerina (CZE)
39 Kudermetova, Veronika (RUS)
40 Yuan, Yue (CHN)
41 Potapova, Anastasia (RUS)
42 Burel, Clara (FRA)
43 Bouzkova, Marie (CZE)
44 Pliskova, Karolina (CZE)
45 Stephens, Sloane (USA)
46 Cocciaretto, Elisabetta (ITA)
47 Kalinina, Anhelina (UKR)
48 Linette, Magda (POL)
48 Zhang, Shuai (CHN) SR
49 Tomova, Viktoriya (BUL)
50 Zhu, Lin (CHN)
51 Dolehide, Caroline (USA)
51 Rogers, Shelby (USA) SR
52 Stearns, Peyton (USA)
53 Sun, Lulu (NZL)
54 Wang, Xiyu (CHN)
55 Kenin, Sofia (USA)
56 Frech, Magdalena (POL)
57 Volynets, Katie (USA)
58 Parry, Diane (FRA)
59 Sorribes Tormo, Sara (ESP)
59 Davis, Lauren (USA) SR
60 Maria, Tatjana (GER)
61 Bucsa, Cristina (ESP)
62 Rus, Arantxa (NED)
63 Tauson, Clara (DEN)
64 Siegemund, Laura (GER)
65 Badosa, Paula (ESP)
66 Cristian, Jaqueline (ROU)
67 Sherif, Mayar (EGY)
68 Bogdan, Ana (ROU)
69 Uchijima, Moyuka (JPN)
70 Bronzetti, Lucia (ITA)
71 Podoroska, Nadia (ARG)
72 Gracheva, Varvara (FRA)
73 Wang, Yafan (CHN)
73 Grabher, Julia (AUT) SR
74 Blinkova, Anna (RUS)
75 Avanesyan, Elina (RUS)
76 Wozniacki, Caroline (DEN)
77 Trevisan, Martina (ITA)
78 Saville, Daria (AUS)
79 Schmiedlova, Anna Karolina (SVK)
80 Minnen, Greet (BEL)
81 Osorio, Camila (COL)
82 Pera, Bernarda (USA)
83 Golubic, Viktorija (SUI)
84 Dart, Harriet (GBR)
85 Krueger, Ashlyn (USA)
86 Bouzas Maneiro, Jessica (ESP)
86 Baindl, Kateryna (UKR) SR
87 Townsend, Taylor (USA)
88 Dodin, Oceane (FRA)
89 Korpatsch, Tamara (GER)
89 Zheng, Saisai (CHN) SR
90 Tsurenko, Lesia (UKR)
91 Fruhvirtova, Brenda (CZE)
92 Andreeva, Erika (RUS)
93 Carle, Maria Lourdes (ARG)
94 Raducanu, Emma (GBR)
94 Wang, Qiang (CHN) SR
95 Niemeier, Jule (GER)
96 Errani, Sara (ITA)
97 Zarazua, Renata (MEX)
98 Bondar, Anna (HUN)
99 Martic, Petra (CRO)

Alternates
100 Hibino, Nao (JPN)

Vondrousova is out due to shoulder surgery.

Djokovic to play US Open R1 Monday, Sinner & Alcaraz compete Tuesday
Order of play still to be released
August 22, 2024

Four-time champion Novak Djokovic will begin his US Open on Monday, while World No. 1 Jannik Sinner and 2022 titlist Carlos Alcaraz will begin their tournament on Tuesday.

The full Monday order of play is still to be made, but Djokovic and the bottom half will compete on Day 1, followed by players in the top half of the draw on Day 2.

In the bottom half of the draw Monday, Djokovic will face a qualifier, fourth seed Alexander Zverev will play Emil Ruusuvuori, sixth seed Andrey Rublev will take on Thiago Seyboth Wild and Casper Ruud will try to advance past a qualifier.

In the top half of the draw Tuesday, Sinner will play Mackenzie McDonald for the fourth time in their Lexus ATP Head2Head series (Sinner leads 3-0), Alcaraz will face a qualifier, former World No. 1 Daniil Medvedev will play Dusan Lajovic and seventh seed Hubert Hurkacz will open against a qualifier.

All matches in the bottom half of the women's singles draw will be played Monday and the top half will compete Tuesday.

No men's doubles or women's doubles will be played until Wednesday.

https://www.atptour.com/en/news/us-open ... 1-schedule

Again I hear everyone saying the USO will be slightly slower than Cincy ..we shall have to see. Are the qualies being played on the same courts as the tournament itself? If anyone has seen any, they can enlighten us?

Of course, court speed is at most a 10% factor but it is a factor when the players are so evenly matched . I would expect that, on a fast court, someone like Pegula or Coco would beat Krejcikova, Samsonova..but on a slow court, that may be reversed. Anisimova -QZ is an example of a matchup where boh prefer slower courts, so speed wont be a factor..on the men's side, DeMinaur will be formidable if the court is fast, not so much if it is slower..the big 4 are all equally adept at all speeds, so Medvedev etc will not care much

ashkor87 wrote: ↑Fri Aug 23, 2024 5:09 am Again I hear everyone saying the USO will be slightly slower than Cincy ..we shall have to see. Are the qualies being played on the same courts as the tournament itself? If anyone has seen any, they can enlighten us?

Yes, qualifying took place on the same courts as the tournament.

Do the courts look fast?