by dave g Congratulations to everybody who made the Updated ATP Picks and Results thread.

airickdago1 Nishioka Bautista Agut Korda Dimitrov Sinner de Minaur Hurkacz
Alvinlimtc Cerundolo Popyrin Korda Evans Sinner Rublev Khachanov Shelton Tsitsipas
CanuckRaonic Griekspoor Schwartzman 23 Korda 29 Bautista Agut 24 Auger-Aliassime 6 de Minaur 22 Khachanov 18 Wolf
Casperpod Nishioka Evans Korda Dimitrov Sinner de Minaur Khachanov Bautista Agut
chaitumsc Griekspoor Brooksby Korda Evans Sinner de Minaur Khachanov Djokovic Tsitsipas
ckelsall34 Sonego Ruusuvuori Lehecka Dimitrov Nishioka Wolf Khachanov Shelton Korda
dave g Nishioka Ruusuvouri Korda Bautista Agut Sinner de Minaur Khachanov Rune
Gff0 Griekspoor Ruusuvuori Korda Dimitrov Sinner Wolf Khachanov Rune
JazzNU Griekspoor Shelton Shapovalov Evans Nishioka de Minaur Khachanov Djokovic Tsitsipas
joanjettson Khachanov Fritz Nishioka Evans Sinner de Minaur Lehecka Rune
jumpfroggy Norrie Brooksby Korda de Minaur Sinner Rune Khachanov Shelton Tsitsipas
New England Nitemare Khachanov de Minaur Korda Evans Auger-Aliassime Rune Lehecka Djokovic Tsitsipas
oliver0001 Sinner Couacaud Korda Shelton Tsitsipas Rublev Khachanov Djokovic Lehecka
patrick Griekspoor De Minaur Nishioka Dimitrov Sinner Rune Khachanov Rublev Korda
SMC_mom Tiafoe Popyrin Korda Dimitrov Auger-Aliassime de Minaur Khachanov Shelton Tsitsipas
theslayer91 Shapovalov Brooksby NIshioka Dimitrov Sinner de Minaur Khachanov Rune

by airickdago1 Though excited to make the updated thread, I actually lost with Hurkacz... :cry:

by ptmcmahon I lost one day too early in both pools to make the updated threads. :)

by dave g Day 8 Pick Summary

Start 15
No Pick 0
Left 15

Djokovic 4
Rune 4
Shelton 4
Bautista Agut 1
Rublev 1
Wolf 1

Start 15
Live 9
Dead 6
In Limbo 0

With 6 of the 8 players being picked, these picks are officiallly "all-over-the-place".

by chaitumsc Let the madness begin. Expecting Rune-Rublev and Shelton-Wolf to be close

by ponchi101 I think the Rune pickers make it, the Shelton pickers.... what do I know?

by joanjettson arghhhhhh :) the worst part is I stayed up to watch this agonizingly erratic match lol

by chaitumsc What a cruel way to end the match though!

by oliver0001 Assuming that Djokovic will win, I will have to pick Lehecka, then either Paul or Bautista Agut (if Lacecka wins which is a huge if). Then I will have run out of picks... Is there anyone who can still beat the draw?

by dave g
oliver0001 wrote: Mon Jan 23, 2023 9:16 am Assuming that Djokovic will win, I will have to pick Lehecka, then either Paul or Bautista Agut (if Lacecka wins which is a huge if). Then I will have run out of picks... Is there anyone who can still beat the draw?
While I think there are several that can, most of the others have used Korda, so I think their odds of beating the draw are slim. It looks to me that ckelsall34 has the best chance, because ckelsall34 has not used either Korda or Djokovic.

by ponchi101
chaitumsc wrote: Mon Jan 23, 2023 7:49 am What a cruel way to end the match though!
I have seen at least three matches ending on let-cords that dropped like rotten peaches on the opponent's court: Murray/Matteo (also in the fifth set TB), Rune/Rublev, and last night, Paul/RBA (not in a TB).
Must be a very weird feeling.

by dave g Day 9 Pick Summary

Start 9
No Pick 0
Left 9

Tsitsipas 6
Korda 2
Lehecka 1

Start 9
Alive 7
Dead 3
In Limbo 0

by chaitumsc We have 2 Korda pickers right?

by dave g
chaitumsc wrote: Tue Jan 24, 2023 2:25 am We have 2 Korda pickers right?
Yes

by dave g Day 10 Picks and Results

Start 6

Paul 6

Either everybody survives, or everybody dies. I didn't even need to use the parser on this one.

by dave g Going into the semifinals we are down to only three people with a pick: Alvinlimtc, jumpfroggy, and SMC_mom. As it turns out, they all have only "Djokovic" as their remaining pick. So, if Djokovic loses, they are all out, but still with the survivor draw pool as being the last people alive. If Djokovic wins, they all advance to the final without any remaining picks; so they still win by being the last players alive. No one actually beats the draw, but those three win the survivor pool, whether of not Djokovic wins.

by Alvinlimtc We each still have Tommy Paul pick as well!

by nelslus
Alvinlimtc wrote: Fri Jan 27, 2023 5:11 am We each still have Tommy Paul pick as well!
IF I am understanding all of this correctly now, and as dave g stated- if Novak wins, Tommy's out, so no Tommy pick would be possible, and you 3 are done. If Tommy wins- your Novak picks were incorrect, meaning that you 3 are "done". Tommy still being in the tournament is irrelevant for your ATP Pools. Tommy is not a possible pick for any of you. But, either way, you all three win, with no picks left.

by ponchi101 But somebody could have picked Tommy and, if the miracle would happen, win it all alone.
Which would be, indeed, miraculous.

by nelslus
ponchi101 wrote: Fri Jan 27, 2023 6:37 am But somebody could have picked Tommy and, if the miracle would happen, win it all alone.
Which would be, indeed, miraculous.
AH, I get it, Alvinlimtc's post was put in before the deadline for getting picks in for today. Never mind. (I blame the lack of my "beauty" sleep for the past two weeks.) :gorgeous:

by dave g
Alvinlimtc wrote: Fri Jan 27, 2023 5:11 am We each still have Tommy Paul pick as well!
Not any more. (typed after the semifinal) And you could not use both Tommy Paul and Novak Djokovic picks.

by dave g Congratulations to Alvinlimtc, jumpfroggy, and SMC_mom for winning the 2023 Australian Open ATP Survivor Draw Pool. A congratulations thread will appear shortly.

by SMC_mom Thanks ! And thanks dave g for running it.
BTW, we all used our Paul pick on Wednesday! Djokovic was the only pick left.
All 6 remaining "prisoners" maximized their chances to win the pool with that Paul pick. The three with Djokovic left made it through the Semis, the three without Novak needed Shelton to win to end the pool (no more picks left for anyone then). Two of them had the Shelton pick available but picking Paul gave them two opportunities to win: 1) Shelton wins (and all 6 players are done and win the pool) 2) Paul wins and Novak loses.
Going back one more round, Patrick and chaitumsc had a good chance to beat the draw, if Korda would have won.

by ponchi101 :clap: :clap: :clap: To the winners!