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2025 Australian Open Survivor Pool: ATP Picks and Results

Posted: Sun Jan 12, 2025 12:24 am
by dave g
Here is the record of your picks. I usually will not update these until the end of play for the day. If your line is red, then one of you picks won and you are out of the contest.

This update was done at the end of Day 9,

161stAndChilla Lehecka Khachanov Tien Humbert Monfils Paul Rune Djokovic de Minaur
1HandBackhandFramed Shang
3mlm Vukic Marozsan Hijikata
adicecream Lehecka Baez
Aggie Rules Fils Thompson Berrettini Lehecka Hurkacz
aidsasis Fils Landaluce
airickdago1 Lehecka Thompson Popyrin
airmutable Opelka Thompson Popyrin
ajay.gov Nishioka Korda Carreno Busta Humbert Michelsen Lehecka de Minaur Paul Sonego
ajstew Nishikori Thompson Popyrin
aleape Machac Baez
alias47 Machac Thompson Cerundolo Humbert Monfils Draper Khachanov
Alvinlimtc Nishioka Mensik Hijikata
andre8735 Machac Mensik Popyrin
ashkor87 Machac Mensik Rune Korda
atlpam Machac Korda Popyrin
bankerb4 Machac Mensik Tien Fils Michelsen Draper de Minaur Paul Sonego
bernadette27 Lehecka Landaluce
bestjax Nishioka Giron Hijikata
blomgren Opelka Korda Bergs
BouchardBoiledEggs Nishikori Landaluce
Cainims Back Hand Machac Thompson Coria
CanuckRaonic Lehecka Baez 28
Casperpod Machac Korda Hijikata
catman Opelka Mensik Tien Humbert Michelsen Draper de Minaur Paul Sonego
Cdavid99 Nishikori Mensik Kecmanovic Humbert Michelsen Lehecka Rune Paul Tien
Chad1 Machac Mensik Tien Humbert Michelsen Draper de Minaur Paul Sonego
Charlie02123 Nishioka Khachanov Kecmanovic Korda
ckelsall34 Bu
CyborgShoes Machac Landaluce

Re: 2025 Australian Open Survivor Pool: ATP Picks and Results

Posted: Sun Jan 12, 2025 12:24 am
by dave g
dave g Lehecka Tiafoe Hurkacz Thompson
deelighted2 Vukic Giron Kecmanovic Korda
Dowser55 Lehecka Dimitrov
DU Pioneers Machac Kyrgios
ducklynt Machac Mensik Tien Bonzi Khachanov Draper Rune Paul De Minaur
Elchie Nishioka Giron Carreno Busta Lehecka Hurkacz
Equipped Lehecka Draper
esquared88 Lehecka Korda Sonego Humbert Michelsen Draper Rune Paul de Minaur
Fastbackss Humbert Paul Hurkacz Draper Khachanov Lehecka Rune Djokovic De Minaur
federer70 Nishioka Baez
Federex Machac Dimitrov
flowerchild39 Lehecka Khachanov Mpetchi Pericard
franchise Lehecka No Pick
FredX Gaston Duckworth Coric
G2gaynor machac Draper Tien Bonzi Michelsen Mensik
Gacritter Nishikori Mensik Tien Bonzi Michelsen Lehecka Rune Paul de Minaur
gerity Nishioka Nardi
gernblandston Davidovich Fokina No Pick
Gff0 Bu
glarange Davidovich Fokina Thompson Cerundolo 31 Korda
Grancordero Nishikori Thompson Sonego Cazaux Hurkacz
GreenGourd Nishioka Mensik Boyer Humbert Michelsen Draper Rune Paul De Minaur
hawk99 Machac Korda Tien Lehecka Michelsen Mensik
hoangers Opelka Kokkinakis Popyrin
HotChocolate Lehecka Thompson Popyrin
hummingbird Machac Giron Hijikata
Improbabledream Lehecka Tiafoe Boyer Korda
Irena2 Machac Mensik Popyrin
IronMike Nishioka Mensik Boyer Humbert de Minaur Zverev Sinner Alcaraz Sonego

Re: 2025 Australian Open Survivor Pool: ATP Picks and Results

Posted: Sun Jan 12, 2025 12:24 am
by dave g
janebowles Ruud Giron Hijikata
JanetB Lehecka Thompson Popyrin
jatagen Nishikori Thompson Popyrin
jazzyg Machac Mensik Bergs
Jeff from TX Machac Mensik Popyrin
Jennede Humbert Paul Coria
jenninlaca Lehecka Mensik Fils Bonzi Monfils Lehecka Tien Paul De Minaur
jkfinaz Opelka Korda Hurkacz Fils Khachanov Lehecka de Minaur Djokovic Shelton
joanjettson Machac Tiafoe Rune Humbert Monfils Lehecka Moutet
JoeCle Lehecka Korda Popyrin
JTContinental Shang
jumpfroggy Lehecka Landaluce
karlovicfanclub Gaston Thompson Tien Humbert Michelsen Lehecka de Minaur Paul Sonego
kcgregg Opelka Draper Boyer Fils Michelsen Lehecka Khachanov
keirules Vukic Mensik Popyrin
kknudsen Opelka No Pick
KMF716 Lehecka Korda
kokomuck Nishikori No Pick
ktothem1 Machac Giron Tien Humbert Monfils Lehecka Rune Djokovic de Minaur
Kzt123 Machac Thompson Popyrin
lauriejo Machac Korda Bergs
lbk77 Lehecka Giron Popyrin
Leaker Machac Thompson Popyrin
led14pa2 Lehecka Korda Rune Humbert Michelsen Draper Sonego Paul De Minaur
Leemur Lahecka Paul Tien Fearnly Michelson Draper Moutet
Liamvalid Lehecka Kyrgios
likembrave Fils No Pick
Lokomotiv lemnos Opelka Diallo Bergs
lukeorion Nishioka Korda Bergs

Re: 2025 Australian Open Survivor Pool: ATP Picks and Results

Posted: Sun Jan 12, 2025 12:25 am
by dave g
Manahero HALYS Nardi
Marsny Machac Thompson Tien Fils Michelsen Lehecka Rune Paul Di Minaur
martini4me Humbert Mensik
mcbride10s Machac Korda Hijikata
meganfernandez Ruud Thompson Berrettini Bonzi Cerundolo Draper Michelsen Paul De Minaur
Merdon Opelka Dimitrov
Michelle_fenlon Nishioka Thompson Hijikata
Mikeprice444 Fils Landaluce
mmmm8 Machac Mensik Shelton Humbert Tiafoe
Mocam57 Opelka Korda Boyer Humbert Tiafoe
motobass Nishioka Korda Cerundolo Auger-Aliassime
mr_socko Vukic Altmaier Hurkacz Humbert Khachanov Mensik
mrdarnley Lehecka Daniel
mskkkk gaston landaluce
mu_royals Lehecka Mensik Kecmanovic Humbert Monfils Draper Rune Paul De Minaur
NatLee Nishioka Khachanov Shelton Paul de Minaur Draper Sonego Djokovic Monfils
naughtyT Machac Thompson Popyrin
nelslus Machac Thompson Popyrin
Net Raider Lehecka Altmaier Popyrin
New England Nitemare Machac Khachanov Popyrin
noedee Humbert Draper Bergs
nyjaney Machac Baez
oliver0001 Bu
Omegadoom Machac Mensik Popyrin
Omess Lehecka Mensik Coric
Oploskoffie Machac Khachanov Bergs

Re: 2025 Australian Open Survivor Pool: ATP Picks and Results

Posted: Sun Jan 12, 2025 12:25 am
by dave g
patmanmo Nishioka Thompson Hijikata
patrick Machac Draper Hurkacz Humbert Michelsen Lehecka De Minaur Paul Sonego
paulfmcintyre Lehecka Khachanov Hurkacz Humbert Michelsen Draper Rune Paul de Minaur
Pharmanimal Nishikori Kyrgios
phatsdawg Opelka Giron Coric
Pjstew Machac Khachanov Rune Humbert Shelton Draper Sonego Paul de Minaur
ponchi101 Fils Thompson Popyrin
ptmcmahon Lehecka Korda Popyrin
riley371 Opelka Thompson Popyrin
rktct2b Vukic Tiafoe Popyrin
seamzten18 Fils Thompson Kecmanovic Lehecka Khachanov Draper de Minaur Paul Sonego
sh79 Fils Mensik Tien Humbert Michelsen Draper de Minaur Paul Sonego
shmrck14 Lehecka Landaluce
skim5150 Nishioka Mensik Popyrin
slamdog Machac Thompson Popyrin
sleepyzombie Lehecka Paul Popyrin
Sluggo-13 Halys Giron Kecmanovic Bonzi Fonseca
SMC_mom Nishikori Khachanov Tien Humbert Monfils Lehecka Rune Paul de Minaur
sokol Machac No Pick
spencerlee Nishioka Marozsan Sonego Humbert Michelsen Draper Tien Djokovic Monfils
Sportsfan Lehecka Mensik Kecmanovic Fils Michelsen Draper Rune Paul de Minaur
Stripes Nishioka Korda Popyrin
Suliso Lehecka Mensik Popyrin
sw195ae Machac Kokkinakis Bergs

Re: 2025 Australian Open Survivor Pool: ATP Picks and Results

Posted: Sun Jan 12, 2025 12:25 am
by dave g
tcard Gaston Thompson Kecmanovic Fils Cerundolo Draper Khachanov
tenedab Fils Mensik Tien Bonzi Michelsen Lehecka de Minaur Paul Sonego
Tennis Baller Opelka Dimitrov
tennisbrp Machac Khachanov Hijikata
TennisLover1607 Machac Thompson Popyrin
texasniteowl Nishioka Thompson Coric
Tolulops Machac Draper Shelton Humbert Khachanov Lehecka Sonego Paul De Minaur
TwineTime Machac Paul 12 Popyrin 25
Valynn Fils Draper Bergs
Verbalvolleys Opelka Altmaier Hurkacz Ruud
Vexchaps Halys Kyrgios
wbeauchesne Humbert Korda Rune Fils Khachanov Lehecka de Minaur Paul Sonego
Wolfie0890 Bu
wolfy333 Vukic Thompson Popyrin
zephyrstorm03 Opelka Mensik Bergs

Re: 2025 Australian Open Survivor Pool: ATP Picks and Results

Posted: Sun Jan 12, 2025 12:30 am
by dave g
Day 1 Pick Summary

Start 153

Machac 42
Lehecka 22 32
Nishioka 18
Opelka 15
Fils 9
Nishikori 9
Vukic 6
Humbert 5
Bu 4
Gaston 4
Halys 3
Davidvich Fokina 2
Ruud 2
Shang 2

Alive 147
Dead 6
Unknown 0

A very good showing!

Commentary:
There Will Be Blood: We have people on both sides of the Davidovich Fokina vs Shang match.
Should be good picks: Fils, Lehecka, Humbert, Machac, Gaston, Nishikori
Probably good picks: Vukic, Nishioka, Hayls
I don't know enough: Bu
Might be too early: Ruud

And then there are the Reilly Opelka picks. He retired from his last match due to a back injury. The match before that he beat Novak Djokovic. So, if his back is OK, then this pick is probably too early. If his back is not OK, then he might not win this match. My plan was to wait a round or two to see how he is doing before picking him. However, you might know more about his current condition than I do.

Re: 2025 Australian Open Survivor Pool: ATP Picks and Results

Posted: Sun Jan 12, 2025 2:25 am
by ashkor87
Chatgpt says Fokina is a good bet and says avoid Nishikori

Re: 2025 Australian Open Survivor Pool: ATP Picks and Results

Posted: Sun Jan 12, 2025 9:19 pm
by JTContinental
It looks like 6 matches were also dropped from the schedule to accommodate matches that didn't finish on Day 1. Not sure what dave g wants to do to mitigate, but the matches that were dropped are:

Diallo vs Nardi
Giron vs Hanfmann
Arnaldi vs Musetti
Mannarino vs Kachanov
Comesana vs Altmaier
Bautist Agut vs Shapavolov

Re: 2025 Australian Open Survivor Pool: ATP Picks and Results

Posted: Sun Jan 12, 2025 10:10 pm
by dave g
JTContinental wrote: Sun Jan 12, 2025 9:19 pm It looks like 6 matches were also dropped from the schedule to accommodate matches that didn't finish on Day 1. Not sure what dave g wants to do to mitigate, but the matches that were dropped are:

Diallo vs Nardi
Giron vs Hanfmann
Arnaldi vs Musetti
Mannarino vs Kachanov
Comesana vs Altmaier
Bautist Agut vs Shapavolov
I am sticking to the original schedule of matches, even though this means that there will be a lot of matches played later than originally scheduled. So that if a match was originally scheduled to be played on Day 2, it will remain a Day 2 match even if its start is postponed until Day 3.

Re: 2025 Australian Open Survivor Pool: ATP Picks and Results

Posted: Mon Jan 13, 2025 12:42 am
by dave g
Day 2 Pick Summary

Start 149
No Pick 6
Left 143
New Day 1 losses 2
Now 141

Thompson 28
Mensik 27
Korda 19 18
Khachanov 10
Giron 9
Landaluce 8
Draper 7
Baez 5
Dmitrov 5 4
Paul 5
Kyrgios 4
Tiafoe 4
Altmiaer 3
Kokkinakis 2
Marozsan 2
Nardi 2
Daniel 1
Diallo 1
Duckworth 1

Alive 117
Dead 24
Unknown 0

Commentary:
There Will Be Blood: We have people picking from both sides of Nardi vs Diallo
Probably Too Soon: Dimitrov
Probably Good Pick: Thompson, Mensik, Korda, Khachanov, Draper, Baez, Paul, and Tiafoe
I Don't Know Enough To Be Sure: Giron, Landaluce, Kyrgios, Marozsan, Daniel, and Duckworth

Re: 2025 Australian Open Survivor Pool: ATP Picks and Results

Posted: Mon Jan 13, 2025 2:56 am
by hoangers
My Kokkinakis pick is not included here

Re: 2025 Australian Open Survivor Pool: ATP Picks and Results

Posted: Mon Jan 13, 2025 3:58 am
by tenedab
T. Seyboth Wild vs F. Marozsan (listed for day3) is in the 3 rd set now( day 2 match)

Re: 2025 Australian Open Survivor Pool: ATP Picks and Results

Posted: Mon Jan 13, 2025 4:13 am
by dave g
tenedab wrote: Mon Jan 13, 2025 3:58 am T. Seyboth Wild vs F. Marozsan (listed for day3) is in the 3 rd set now( day 2 match)
Thanks. I had to create the Day 3 match list by taking the full draw and deleting the original Day 1 and Day 2 matches. I obviously missed deleting that match.

Re: 2025 Australian Open Survivor Pool: ATP Picks and Results

Posted: Mon Jan 13, 2025 10:59 pm
by Improbabledream
I'm surprised that nobody picked comesano for day 2. He's the guy that took Rublev out of wimbledon last year.