by dave g Here is the record of your picks. I usually will not update these until the end of play for the day. If your line is red, then one of you picks won and you are out of the contest.
This update was done at the end of Day 9,
161stAndChilla Lehecka Khachanov Tien Humbert Monfils Paul Rune Djokovic de Minaur
1HandBackhandFramed Shang
3mlm Vukic Marozsan Hijikata
adicecream Lehecka Baez
Aggie Rules Fils Thompson Berrettini Lehecka Hurkacz
aidsasis Fils Landaluce
airickdago1 Lehecka Thompson Popyrin
airmutable Opelka Thompson Popyrin
ajay.gov Nishioka Korda Carreno Busta Humbert Michelsen Lehecka de Minaur Paul Sonego
ajstew Nishikori Thompson Popyrin
aleape Machac Baez
alias47 Machac Thompson Cerundolo Humbert Monfils Draper Khachanov
Alvinlimtc Nishioka Mensik Hijikata
andre8735 Machac Mensik Popyrin
ashkor87 Machac Mensik Rune Korda
atlpam Machac Korda Popyrin
bankerb4 Machac Mensik Tien Fils Michelsen Draper de Minaur Paul Sonego
bernadette27 Lehecka Landaluce
bestjax Nishioka Giron Hijikata
blomgren Opelka Korda Bergs
BouchardBoiledEggs Nishikori Landaluce
Cainims Back Hand Machac Thompson Coria
CanuckRaonic Lehecka Baez 28
Casperpod Machac Korda Hijikata
catman Opelka Mensik Tien Humbert Michelsen Draper de Minaur Paul Sonego
Cdavid99 Nishikori Mensik Kecmanovic Humbert Michelsen Lehecka Rune Paul Tien
Chad1 Machac Mensik Tien Humbert Michelsen Draper de Minaur Paul Sonego
Charlie02123 Nishioka Khachanov Kecmanovic Korda
ckelsall34 Bu
CyborgShoes Machac Landaluce
by dave g dave g Lehecka Tiafoe Hurkacz Thompson
deelighted2 Vukic Giron Kecmanovic Korda
Dowser55 Lehecka Dimitrov
DU Pioneers Machac Kyrgios
ducklynt Machac Mensik Tien Bonzi Khachanov Draper Rune Paul De Minaur
Elchie Nishioka Giron Carreno Busta Lehecka Hurkacz
Equipped Lehecka Draper
esquared88 Lehecka Korda Sonego Humbert Michelsen Draper Rune Paul de Minaur
Fastbackss Humbert Paul Hurkacz Draper Khachanov Lehecka Rune Djokovic De Minaur
federer70 Nishioka Baez
Federex Machac Dimitrov
flowerchild39 Lehecka Khachanov Mpetchi Pericard
franchise Lehecka No Pick
FredX Gaston Duckworth Coric
G2gaynor machac Draper Tien Bonzi Michelsen Mensik
Gacritter Nishikori Mensik Tien Bonzi Michelsen Lehecka Rune Paul de Minaur
gerity Nishioka Nardi
gernblandston Davidovich Fokina No Pick
Gff0 Bu
glarange Davidovich Fokina Thompson Cerundolo 31 Korda
Grancordero Nishikori Thompson Sonego Cazaux Hurkacz
GreenGourd Nishioka Mensik Boyer Humbert Michelsen Draper Rune Paul De Minaur
hawk99 Machac Korda Tien Lehecka Michelsen Mensik
hoangers Opelka Kokkinakis Popyrin
HotChocolate Lehecka Thompson Popyrin
hummingbird Machac Giron Hijikata
Improbabledream Lehecka Tiafoe Boyer Korda
Irena2 Machac Mensik Popyrin
IronMike Nishioka Mensik Boyer Humbert de Minaur Zverev Sinner Alcaraz Sonego
by dave g janebowles Ruud Giron Hijikata
JanetB Lehecka Thompson Popyrin
jatagen Nishikori Thompson Popyrin
jazzyg Machac Mensik Bergs
Jeff from TX Machac Mensik Popyrin
Jennede Humbert Paul Coria
jenninlaca Lehecka Mensik Fils Bonzi Monfils Lehecka Tien Paul De Minaur
jkfinaz Opelka Korda Hurkacz Fils Khachanov Lehecka de Minaur Djokovic Shelton
joanjettson Machac Tiafoe Rune Humbert Monfils Lehecka Moutet
JoeCle Lehecka Korda Popyrin
JTContinental Shang
jumpfroggy Lehecka Landaluce
karlovicfanclub Gaston Thompson Tien Humbert Michelsen Lehecka de Minaur Paul Sonego
kcgregg Opelka Draper Boyer Fils Michelsen Lehecka Khachanov
keirules Vukic Mensik Popyrin
kknudsen Opelka No Pick
KMF716 Lehecka Korda
kokomuck Nishikori No Pick
ktothem1 Machac Giron Tien Humbert Monfils Lehecka Rune Djokovic de Minaur
Kzt123 Machac Thompson Popyrin
lauriejo Machac Korda Bergs
lbk77 Lehecka Giron Popyrin
Leaker Machac Thompson Popyrin
led14pa2 Lehecka Korda Rune Humbert Michelsen Draper Sonego Paul De Minaur
Leemur Lahecka Paul Tien Fearnly Michelson Draper Moutet
Liamvalid Lehecka Kyrgios
likembrave Fils No Pick
Lokomotiv lemnos Opelka Diallo Bergs
lukeorion Nishioka Korda Bergs
by dave g Manahero HALYS Nardi
Marsny Machac Thompson Tien Fils Michelsen Lehecka Rune Paul Di Minaur
martini4me Humbert Mensik
mcbride10s Machac Korda Hijikata
meganfernandez Ruud Thompson Berrettini Bonzi Cerundolo Draper Michelsen Paul De Minaur
Merdon Opelka Dimitrov
Michelle_fenlon Nishioka Thompson Hijikata
Mikeprice444 Fils Landaluce
mmmm8 Machac Mensik Shelton Humbert Tiafoe
Mocam57 Opelka Korda Boyer Humbert Tiafoe
motobass Nishioka Korda Cerundolo Auger-Aliassime
mr_socko Vukic Altmaier Hurkacz Humbert Khachanov Mensik
mrdarnley Lehecka Daniel
mskkkk gaston landaluce
mu_royals Lehecka Mensik Kecmanovic Humbert Monfils Draper Rune Paul De Minaur
NatLee Nishioka Khachanov Shelton Paul de Minaur Draper Sonego Djokovic Monfils
naughtyT Machac Thompson Popyrin
nelslus Machac Thompson Popyrin
Net Raider Lehecka Altmaier Popyrin
New England Nitemare Machac Khachanov Popyrin
noedee Humbert Draper Bergs
nyjaney Machac Baez
oliver0001 Bu
Omegadoom Machac Mensik Popyrin
Omess Lehecka Mensik Coric
Oploskoffie Machac Khachanov Bergs
by dave g patmanmo Nishioka Thompson Hijikata
patrick Machac Draper Hurkacz Humbert Michelsen Lehecka De Minaur Paul Sonego
paulfmcintyre Lehecka Khachanov Hurkacz Humbert Michelsen Draper Rune Paul de Minaur
Pharmanimal Nishikori Kyrgios
phatsdawg Opelka Giron Coric
Pjstew Machac Khachanov Rune Humbert Shelton Draper Sonego Paul de Minaur
ponchi101 Fils Thompson Popyrin
ptmcmahon Lehecka Korda Popyrin
riley371 Opelka Thompson Popyrin
rktct2b Vukic Tiafoe Popyrin
seamzten18 Fils Thompson Kecmanovic Lehecka Khachanov Draper de Minaur Paul Sonego
sh79 Fils Mensik Tien Humbert Michelsen Draper de Minaur Paul Sonego
shmrck14 Lehecka Landaluce
skim5150 Nishioka Mensik Popyrin
slamdog Machac Thompson Popyrin
sleepyzombie Lehecka Paul Popyrin
Sluggo-13 Halys Giron Kecmanovic Bonzi Fonseca
SMC_mom Nishikori Khachanov Tien Humbert Monfils Lehecka Rune Paul de Minaur
sokol Machac No Pick
spencerlee Nishioka Marozsan Sonego Humbert Michelsen Draper Tien Djokovic Monfils
Sportsfan Lehecka Mensik Kecmanovic Fils Michelsen Draper Rune Paul de Minaur
Stripes Nishioka Korda Popyrin
Suliso Lehecka Mensik Popyrin
sw195ae Machac Kokkinakis Bergs
by dave g tcard Gaston Thompson Kecmanovic Fils Cerundolo Draper Khachanov
tenedab Fils Mensik Tien Bonzi Michelsen Lehecka de Minaur Paul Sonego
Tennis Baller Opelka Dimitrov
tennisbrp Machac Khachanov Hijikata
TennisLover1607 Machac Thompson Popyrin
texasniteowl Nishioka Thompson Coric
Tolulops Machac Draper Shelton Humbert Khachanov Lehecka Sonego Paul De Minaur
TwineTime Machac Paul 12 Popyrin 25
Valynn Fils Draper Bergs
Verbalvolleys Opelka Altmaier Hurkacz Ruud
Vexchaps Halys Kyrgios
wbeauchesne Humbert Korda Rune Fils Khachanov Lehecka de Minaur Paul Sonego
Wolfie0890 Bu
wolfy333 Vukic Thompson Popyrin
zephyrstorm03 Opelka Mensik Bergs
by dave g Day 1 Pick Summary
Start 153
Machac 42
Lehecka 22 32
Nishioka 18
Opelka 15
Fils 9
Nishikori 9
Vukic 6
Humbert 5
Bu 4
Gaston 4
Halys 3
Davidvich Fokina 2
Ruud 2
Shang 2
Alive 147
Dead 6
Unknown 0
A very good showing!
Commentary:
There Will Be Blood: We have people on both sides of the Davidovich Fokina vs Shang match.
Should be good picks: Fils, Lehecka, Humbert, Machac, Gaston, Nishikori
Probably good picks: Vukic, Nishioka, Hayls
I don't know enough: Bu
Might be too early: Ruud
And then there are the Reilly Opelka picks. He retired from his last match due to a back injury. The match before that he beat Novak Djokovic. So, if his back is OK, then this pick is probably too early. If his back is not OK, then he might not win this match. My plan was to wait a round or two to see how he is doing before picking him. However, you might know more about his current condition than I do.
by ashkor87 Chatgpt says Fokina is a good bet and says avoid Nishikori
by JTContinental It looks like 6 matches were also dropped from the schedule to accommodate matches that didn't finish on Day 1. Not sure what dave g wants to do to mitigate, but the matches that were dropped are:
Diallo vs Nardi
Giron vs Hanfmann
Arnaldi vs Musetti
Mannarino vs Kachanov
Comesana vs Altmaier
Bautist Agut vs Shapavolov
by
dave g JTContinental wrote: ↑Sun Jan 12, 2025 9:19 pm
It looks like 6 matches were also dropped from the schedule to accommodate matches that didn't finish on Day 1. Not sure what dave g wants to do to mitigate, but the matches that were dropped are:
Diallo vs Nardi
Giron vs Hanfmann
Arnaldi vs Musetti
Mannarino vs Kachanov
Comesana vs Altmaier
Bautist Agut vs Shapavolov
I am sticking to the original schedule of matches, even though this means that there will be a lot of matches played later than originally scheduled. So that if a match was originally scheduled to be played on Day 2, it will remain a Day 2 match even if its start is postponed until Day 3.
by dave g Day 2 Pick Summary
Start 149
No Pick 6
Left 143
New Day 1 losses 2
Now 141
Thompson 28
Mensik 27
Korda 19 18
Khachanov 10
Giron 9
Landaluce 8
Draper 7
Baez 5
Dmitrov 5 4
Paul 5
Kyrgios 4
Tiafoe 4
Altmiaer 3
Kokkinakis 2
Marozsan 2
Nardi 2
Daniel 1
Diallo 1
Duckworth 1
Alive 117
Dead 24
Unknown 0
Commentary:
There Will Be Blood: We have people picking from both sides of Nardi vs Diallo
Probably Too Soon: Dimitrov
Probably Good Pick: Thompson, Mensik, Korda, Khachanov, Draper, Baez, Paul, and Tiafoe
I Don't Know Enough To Be Sure: Giron, Landaluce, Kyrgios, Marozsan, Daniel, and Duckworth
by hoangers My Kokkinakis pick is not included here
by tenedab T. Seyboth Wild vs F. Marozsan (listed for day3) is in the 3 rd set now( day 2 match)
by
dave g tenedab wrote: ↑Mon Jan 13, 2025 3:58 am
T. Seyboth Wild vs F. Marozsan (listed for day3) is in the 3 rd set now( day 2 match)
Thanks. I had to create the Day 3 match list by taking the full draw and deleting the original Day 1 and Day 2 matches. I obviously missed deleting that match.
by Improbabledream I'm surprised that nobody picked comesano for day 2. He's the guy that took Rublev out of wimbledon last year.
by
dave g Day 3 Pick Summary
Start: 119
Did not make pick: 4 (They will get a chance in the Day 3.5 Picks thread. Also, I will put them in the Unknown category)
Popyrin 33
Tien 18
Bergs 10
Hijikata 10
Kecmanovic 8
Hurkacz 7
Boyer 5
Rune 5
Cerunodolo 4
Coric 4
Shelton 3
Sonego 3
Carreno Busta 3
Berrettini 2
Coria 2
Mpetchi Perricard 1
Alive 58
Dead 60
Unknown 0
Commentary:
There Will Be Blood: We have picks on both sides of the Boyer vs Coria match.
Might be too early: Rune,
Mpetchi Perricard
Probably good pick: Popyrin, Cerundolo, Hurkacz
Maybe good pick: Tien, Hijikata, Kecmanovic, Shelton, Sonego, Carreno Busta, Coric
I don't know enough: Bergs
About Mpetchi Perricard: his opponent, Monfils, won a tournament last week. This will be a tough match.
by ashkor87 ChatGpt says Hurkacz
by ashkor87 Phew! Rune made me sweat today, totally uncalled for.
by
dave g ashkor87 wrote: ↑Tue Jan 14, 2025 4:37 am
Phew! Rune made me sweat today, totally uncalled for.
You obviously didn't use him too early. My interpretation is that may have been the only chance to use him. If so, great call.
by ashkor87 Yes,Rune hasn't really lived up to his promise .
by G2gaynor Yikes, that's a lot dead after just the first round! Could have been even bloodier too!
by ashkor87 Popyrin took out a lot of people too!
by naughtyT aussie aussie aussie oy vey oy vey oy vey.
by ashkor87 A bit early to lose half the field!
by karlovicfanclub If I hadn't picked Tien, I probably would have gone with Popyrin. Glad I didn't have a change of heart. As it was, I thought I was in trouble after watching Tien lose the first set, and was pleasantly surprised to check the scores when I woke up this morning to see that he had won. I dodged a bullet, at least, for one day.
by dave g Day 4 Pick Summary
We have 44 54people, but one of the had trouble with their Day 3 pick and made use of the Day 3.5 Pick option.
So we have 44 54 people and 45 55picks
Start 45 55
Humbert 24
Fils 8
Bonzi 7
Korda 5
Lehecka 4
Auger_Aliassime 1
Cazuax 1
Draper 1
Fearnley 1
Paul 1
Ruud 1
Thompson 1
Alive 36 46
Dead 9
Unknown 0
Comments:
Wow, we are all over the place. 12 picks out of 16 matches.
There Will Be Blood, again: We have picks on both sides of the Cazaux vs Fearnley match. I haven't been able to watch either of them play, but beating Kyrgios doesn't cause me to have a lot of confidence in Fearnley. We will see.
Probably good picks: Lehecka, Bonzi, Draper, Korda, Thompson, Auger-Aliassime, Humbert, and Fils
Less sure about: Paul
Paul is playing Nishikori, who is playing better then he (Nishikori) has for several years. Nishikori's ranking has not caught up with his improved play, so determing how well he is playing currently is difficult. This is likely to be a tough match.
by tenedab Day 5 Michelsen vs M. Landaluce is listed but it should be Michelsen vs McCabe
by
dave g tenedab wrote: ↑Wed Jan 15, 2025 4:52 am
Day 5 Michelsen vs M. Landaluce is listed but it should be Michelsen vs McCabe
Thanks,
Thankfully, no one picked Landaluce while the mistake was still in place.
by SMC_mom looks like 46 alive, not 36
by
joanjettson The Fearnley picker and Jason Goodall know something I don't - I will have to check him out
by
meganfernandez joanjettson wrote: ↑Wed Jan 15, 2025 7:24 pm
The Fearnley picker and Jason Goodall know something I don't - I will have to check him out
I’ve been saving Fearnley….
Seriously I flirted with taking Cazaux. Went as far as looking up their recent activity.
by dave g Day 5 Pick Summary
Start 46
Michelsen 21
Khachanov 7
Monfils 7
Hurkacz 3
Cerundolo 2
De Minaur 2
Shelton 1
Tiafoe 2
Fonseca 1
Alive 40
Dead 6
Unknown 0
by dave g Day 6 Pick Summary
Start 40
Draper 19
Lehecka 16
Mensik 3
Paul 1
Zverev 1
Alive 37
Dead 3
Unknown 0
Comments:
Draper and Lehecka look like good picks.
Mensik: I haven't seen him play, so I don't know how confident I would be with this pick.
Paul: You will need to be careful with your future picks, but there is space in the draw for you to succeed.
Zverev: You will need Zverev to lose one of his next to matches to beat the draw. Admittedly, the goal is to beat everyone else, and not necessarily to beat the draw. But your future picks will leave you with almost no room for error.
by dave g Day 7 Pick Summary
Start 37
Rune 13
De Minaur 11
Khachanov 3
Sonego 4
Moutet 2
Tien 2
Michelsen 1
Sinner 1
Alive 32
Dead 5
Unknown 0
Comments:
It's not clear that there any truely good picks out there. Almost every pick comes with dangers.
There Will Be Blood: We have picks on both sides of Michelsen vs Khachanov and Moutet vs Tien. If you are on the right side of one of these two matches, you should be in good shape.
Rune: This tournament, Rune has has a way of turning standard matches into 5-setters. You might be right, but this one will be hard on the nerves. If you make it through, you should be in pretty good shape.
De Minaur: Who are you going to pick on Day 9 and 11. It looks like you are headed into a tight spot.
Sinner: You should make it through today, but then what?
by
karlovicfanclub dave g wrote: ↑Sat Jan 18, 2025 12:34 am
Comments:
It's not clear that there any truely good picks out there. Almost every pick comes with dangers.
There Will Be Blood: We have picks on both sides of Michelsen vs Khachanov and Moutet vs Tien. If you are on the right side of one of these two matches, you should be in good shape.
Rune: This tournament, Rune has has a way of turning standard matches into 5-setters. You might be right, but this one will be hard on the nerves. If you make it through, you should be in pretty good shape.
De Minaur: Who are you going to pick on Day 9 and 11. It looks like you are headed into a tight spot.
Sinner: You should make it through today, but then what?
I picked de Minaur. If I can make it to Day 9 and 11, I will be happy to have made it that far and will deal with it. I had already used Tien and Michelsen, and I didn't have enough confidence in either Khachanov or Moutet to pick them. As for Rune, there's nothing predictable about him, and at this stage in pool, I wasn't ready to throw my chances on him or Kecmanovic.
I was already taking a flyer with Lys in the women's pool for Day 7.
by GreenGourd Hi, Dave. I've been marked red after Day 6, but my pick, Jack Draper, won that day (barely!). And my Day 7 pick, Rune, also won (barely!). Take a look?
Thanks for all the work on this!
by
dave g GreenGourd wrote: ↑Sat Jan 18, 2025 7:48 pm
Hi, Dave. I've been marked red after Day 6, but my pick, Jack Draper, won that day (barely!). And my Day 7 pick, Rune, also won (barely!). Take a look?
Thanks for all the work on this!
Sorry about that. You were never marked red in my records. The problem was from the player listed after you. When I mark someone red, I have to mark them red at the beginning of the line, and turn the red off at the end of the line. When I marked the player after you red, I forgot to turn the red off at the end of the line. For some reason, this turned your line red when I posted it to this thread. There were several other possible people accidentally showing up red, but they should be fixed now. Thanks for pointing that out to me.
by
catman dave g wrote: ↑Sat Jan 18, 2025 10:18 pm
GreenGourd wrote: ↑Sat Jan 18, 2025 7:48 pm
Hi, Dave. I've been marked red after Day 6, but my pick, Jack Draper, won that day (barely!). And my Day 7 pick, Rune, also won (barely!). Take a look?
Thanks for all the work on this!
Sorry about that. You were never marked red in my records. The problem was from the player listed after you. When I mark someone red, I have to mark them red at the beginning of the line, and turn the red off at the end of the line. When I marked the player after you red, I forgot to turn the red off at the end of the line. For some reason, this turned your line red when I posted it to this thread. There were several other possible people accidentally showing up red, but they should be fixed now. Thanks for pointing that out to me.
Seems the same happened to me. I went to sleep expecting ADM to lose, but was surprised he won...
by
dave g catman wrote: ↑Sun Jan 19, 2025 1:49 am
dave g wrote: ↑Sat Jan 18, 2025 10:18 pm
GreenGourd wrote: ↑Sat Jan 18, 2025 7:48 pm
Hi, Dave. I've been marked red after Day 6, but my pick, Jack Draper, won that day (barely!). And my Day 7 pick, Rune, also won (barely!). Take a look?
Thanks for all the work on this!
Sorry about that. You were never marked red in my records. The problem was from the player listed after you. When I mark someone red, I have to mark them red at the beginning of the line, and turn the red off at the end of the line. When I marked the player after you red, I forgot to turn the red off at the end of the line. For some reason, this turned your line red when I posted it to this thread. There were several other possible people accidentally showing up red, but they should be fixed now. Thanks for pointing that out to me.
Seems the same happened to me. I went to sleep expecting ADM to lose, but was surprised he won...
I have no clue why that happened. I checked my records, and you were not red. So, I re-did the copy-and-paste, and now you are no longer red. I made absolutely no change to the source records, but your color changed.
by dave g Day 8 Pick Summary
Start 32
Paul 25
Djokovic 6
Alcaraz 1
Alive 32
Dead 0
Unknown 0
Comments:
Almost all of our reasonable picks have been limited by our previous picks. All I can really say is "Good Luck".
by
meganfernandez dave g wrote: ↑Sun Jan 19, 2025 3:05 am
Day 8 Pick Summary
Start 32
Paul 25
Djokovic 6
Alcaraz 1
Alive 0
Dead 0
Unknown 32
Comments:
Almost all of our reasonable picks have been limited by our previous picks. All I can really say is "Good Luck".
Paul cruised. Let’s see if the next round thins this thing out.
by dave g Day 9 Pick Summary
Start 32
De Minaur 17
Sonego 12
Monfils 2
Tien 1
Alive 29
Dead 3
Unknown 0
Things are getting pretty tight. Good Luck.
We do have picks on both sides of Sonego vs Tien.
by ashkor87 Today Chatgpt says DeMinaur