Jabeur was my pick I thought I would chime in. I would be curious to know what you mean by solid ground? I am aware that she has dramtically improved the last two years and has been playing great, but... did you think she had a realistic chance to win this tournament? I saw this thing as having one clear favorite on the wta side, and then just about everyone else. Chaos. The krejicova loss I think would be an example of this...ponchi101 wrote: ↑Sun May 22, 2022 4:19 pm Commentary.
Jabeur. The person that picked Ons has to explain what did he/she know about Jabeur not being on very solid ground. Granted, he is currently at the Cafe la Guillotine, drowning his sorrows, but he certainly knew a lot more than the rest of of did, although not enough to foresee his early demise. Many people saw Jabeur as a solid #2 in the bets to win the entire thing. He knew better. Just not better enough.
Li. Drinks are ON THE HOUSE for you at the Cafe La Guillotine. Your player is up 6-3 in the first, and 3-2 in the second, and she retires. We have no news as to what happened to her, but, whatever it might have been (C19, a meteorite fell on her head, bubonic plague, some truly nasty spell, what have you) you just caught one truly bad break. Drop by the lounge; you need to drown those sorrows quickly. Like, right now
Philosophically, I think it tends to be a smarter play to pick someone you think is an overwhelming favorite to win in the first round (regardless of if you think they can make a deep run) as opposed to someone you beleive in slightly less in the first round, and also beleive will lose earlier in the draw... you are more likely to lose early this way. This reasoning obviously did not not work for me this time, but I still think it is sound.
But on Jabeur specifically I knew everything you did and nothing more. Ok, probably less. But I see a somewhat volatile style of game that I judge to be untrustworthy in high pressure situations. Also, an 0-4 record in finals untill very recently. I envisioned her dealing with the pressure of being a "favorite" at a grand slam, going against an underdog without that pressure who played well... and losing. Qf or earlier (I was kinda right by the way.) Only thing I guess I regret is going against a player I Like and should have beleived was capable of this: Magda Linette.
So I dont think it was "way too early." I think it was dank. And in either case, someone just picked Nadal to win his first match, which should take me off the hook for most irresponsible round of 128 pick.